Historical trends suggest that Altcoins will peak in October 2025, 546 days after the halving

When will the altcoin bull run begin? This question is on every investor’s mind right now, but a definitive answer has yet to be provided. However, in the latest episode of Working Channel Money, the analyst noted that in both previous cycles, altcoins peaked exactly 546 days after the halving.

If this cycle followed the same pattern, it would suggest a peak in altcoins by October 2025, coinciding with market peak estimates. This pattern was observed in 2016 and 2020 and the analyst predicts the same for 2025.

However, some factors such as cycle acceleration and macroeconomic influences could lead to an earlier peak. While relying on just two data points may be overly simplistic, it still suggests that we are at the beginning of the altcoin cycle. Currently, Bitcoin’s dominance is increasing and altcoins have taken a backseat despite the increase in round-the-clock trading volumes. Recent sell-offs have been observed, but the market capitalization is around 2.45 trillion dollars with neutral sentiment.

Looking at the total market capitalization of altcoins excluding Bitcoin, the analyst said it is about 60% below its all-time high. Typically, once altcoins reach an all-time high, they rise significantly. Since some time has already passed since the halving, reaching another 60% rally to the peak and subsequent peak could occur within a 546 day window.

For altcoins, excluding both Bitcoin and Ethereum, the market capitalization is approximately 75% below its all-time high. This suggests plenty of room for growth. Currently, Bitcoin trades around $66,800 with minimal volatility. The altcoin market has experienced small fluctuations recently, but significant upward movements are expected, with potential daily gains of 10-90% during the euphoria phase.

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