Bitcoin
With Bitcoin Below $56K, Why Is the Crypto Market Dropping Today?
With a 4% drop on Sunday, bears overcame Saturday’s recovery in Bitcoin and pushed the altcoin market back into bear territory. Undermining the chances of a week-long recovery, the increased supply is driving a Monday drop in early Asian trading hours.
Bitcoin is trading at $55,269 with an intraday loss of 1.30% and is trading at a low of $54,296. With a bearish tone, altcoins are starting the week with long liquidations, and major cryptos are down 5% or more.
Ethereum, Solana, and Toncoin dropped 5.25%, 7.23%, and 5.45% respectively, while meme coins took a massive hit. DOGE, SHIB, and PEPE dropped 8.08%, 7.64%, and 12.84% respectively.
With Monday Blues hitting the cryptocurrency market hard, anticipations of a bigger drop this week are rising. Let’s take a look at our detailed price analysis of the top cryptocurrencies for a clearer view of the market.
You can also check out our Bitcoin Price Prediction to determine the chances of Bitcoin hitting the $100,000 mark this year.
Bitcoin Price Performance
With zero follow-up to Saturday’s recovery, Bitcoin’s downtrend continues. Breaking below the $56,000 level, BTC is trading at $55,269, down nearly 5% in the past 24 hours.
Adding to the bearish influence on the daily chart, BTC price breaks below the descending trendline. The 4% drop on Sunday creates a bearish engulfing candle and resets the moving downtrend.
Totaling $111 million in long liquidation in the broader market on Sunday, the trend continues with $75 million in the early hours of Monday. With price action signaling a continuation of the downtrend, the long liquidations reinforce bearish traders.
Bitcoin Hash Rate Drawdown Reaches Critical Levels
Bitcoin’s hashrate drawdown is a measure of declines in mining activity. According to Cryptoquant, the metric has fallen to levels last seen in December 2022.
Historically, such hashrate reductions have coincided with major price movements. The December 2022 reduction preceded a notable bullish reversal, suggesting that current conditions could signal a similar price move.
As Bitcoin’s price drops, the deep hash rate drop could indicate a market bottom or an imminent bullish phase. However, this goes against the ongoing price action movement as BTC price drops below the $56,000 mark.
While the next support level is at $52,000, it could be the next recovery point to start the bullish rally towards the $100,000 target.
Mt. Gox payout continues to cause market jitters
Following the collapse of cryptocurrency exchange Mt. Gox in 2014, the recent payment scheme has induced significant fear among investors. After a decade-long wait, the refund process has begun and is quickly bringing fears of a massive supply dump in the near future.
According to the latest filing from the trustee, Mt. Gox creditors will receive Bitcoin (BTC) or Bitcoin Cash (BCH) in the next 2 weeks or 3 months. This will depend on the exchange they choose. While Kraken could take up to 3 months, other exchanges such as Bitbank and SBI VC Trade are aiming to complete the payments in the next 2 weeks.
This payment is intended to prevent a major price drop, although the distribution of around $2.71 billion in BTC could still cause market jitters.
Where is Bitcoin headed this week?
With the ongoing FUD race in the crypto market, the bearish movements are likely to continue this week. With Bitcoin breaking below $56,000, the next plausible support lies at the $52,000 mark. Furthermore, the downtrend increases the possibility of a death cross of the 50D and 200D EMA.
To amplify the decline, altcoins could witness a massive drop and larger liquidations this week.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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