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Will Bitcoin Recover? Here’s Where Five Experts See the Price Heading Next – DL News

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Will Bitcoin Recover? Here’s Where Five Experts See the Price Heading Next – DL News

Bitcoin’s plunge has seen it fall below $55,000, below its 200-day simple moving average.

The slowdown comes as Mt. Gox has begun paying customers after a decade-long bankruptcy process that was expected to see the return of about 9 billion dollars in Bitcoin.

The new inflow comes as market watchers expect German government to sell their Bitcoin holdings, which will also weigh on the markets.

So how bad will the crisis be?

That’s what the experts say.

David Brickell of FRNT

David Brickell, FRNT’s head of international distribution, said DL News It’s hard to say how far Bitcoin will fall.

Still, he sees signs that the crisis could change.

Macro factors “are aligning positively, with the dollar falling and yields reversing lower on expectations of Fed rate cuts and improved liquidity as major central banks adopt an easier policy stance,” Brickell said.

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Several factors suggest a turnaround.

“This latest flush may be enough to attract dip buyers who have been left out but remain bullish for the long term and could very well kickstart the next leg of the bull market,” Brickell said. “Bulls will be watching.”

Rachel Lin of SynFutures

Rachel Lin, co-founder and CEO of decentralized cryptocurrency derivatives exchange SynFutures, said Bitcoin’s decline is due to market expectations that Mt. Gox users will dump their tokens,

But “we could see a recovery if sales are lower than expected,” she counted DL News.

Lin added that it is possible that the price of Bitcoin could fall further: “If there is enough selling to push the price lower, we could be looking at the $50,000 level soon.”

Brad Howell from Keyrock UK

Negativity about the potential impact of Mt. Gox’s $9 billion plunge on the market may just be sentimentality.

That’s according to Brad Howell, managing director of cryptocurrency market maker Keyrock UK.

“We have to put this into perspective,” Howell counted DL News earlier this year.

Bitcoin averaged $30 billion in daily trading volume in March, and the market processed $72 billion in volume when Bitcoin fell 8% on March 19, Howell said.

“That should give you an idea of ​​the volume needed to move a market of that size,” he said.

Howell also said he did not expect Mt. Gox creditors to sell their assets as they are likely early adopters of the technology and are more likely to hold onto their Bitcoins.

“Don’t expect large volumes to be dumped on day one,” he said.

Adam Morgan McCarthy of Kaiko

Adam Morgan McCarthy, an analyst at digital financial data firm Kaiko, said Bitcoin’s liquidity over the summer will play a major role in its price action.

“Liquidity tends to dry up during the summer months. We can already to see this is happening,” he said DL News.

“This means there is less support when there is selling pressure and prices can move more sharply. I expect this to continue through July, August and September.”

Jacob Joseph of CCData

CCData research analyst Jacob Joseph said DL News there are reasons to be optimistic, “despite the current challenges”.

He cited growing cryptocurrency adoption among institutional players — for example, through spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds — and the U.S. election “serving as positive catalysts” for a rally.

In the US, both President Joe Biden and possible Republican candidate Donald Trump have taken an interest in cryptocurrencies.

Joseph said he will be mindful of seasonal effects in the summer, which typically result in lower institutional trading activity.

He will also keep an eye on key macroeconomic factors, including the inflation rate and the Federal Open Market Committee meeting later this month, for further clues.

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We are the editorial team of Altcoin Updates, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Altcoin Updates, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

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Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.

Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.

In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.

On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.

The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.

“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.

Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.

The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.

“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.

That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.

Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.

(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)

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India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report

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Amitoj Singh

“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.

Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.

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