Bitcoin
When will Bitcoin price peak in this bull market?
In the whirlwind of Ups and downs of the Bitcoin market, a voice stands out, asking for action: it’s time to buy. Analyst Rekt Capital recently shed light on the patterns that shape Bitcoin cycles.
But wait. Let’s back up a little. Why the bullish forecast? Is this the right move for your portfolio? There’s only one way to find out. Dive in!
Understanding Patterns
Getting to the heart of the matter, Rekt Capital asks the question on everyone’s mind: when will the Bitcoin bull market peak and how long will it last? Based on historical data, Rekt Capital predicts a peak around 518 to 546 days after the halving, suggesting we could see it in mid-September or mid-October.
This timeline syncs with the traditional rhythm of Bitcoin market cycles, driven by halving events. Following this pace, Rekt Capital advises buying after a 20% drop and before recovery. With the drop now exceeding 20%, the opportunity to buy Bitcoin strengthens, with losses expected to stabilize around 24%.
Chances of speeding up?
However, another perspective to consider is the possibility of an accelerated cycle. This theory suggests that market cycles may be shortening due to increased adoption, institutional interest and other factors. If this accelerated cycle hypothesis holds, the peak of the bull market could arrive sooner than expected.
Rekt Capital suggests using previous highs to predict the spike. They highlight that the top of the Bitcoin bull market occurs 266-315 days after reaching all-time highs. This method provides a new perspective on Bitcoin’s trajectory, especially given its current rapid cycle.
Additionally, Rekt Capital examines Bitcoin’s history after breaking old highs, showing a tendency to spend more time before bull market tops. These findings extend the peak range to 280-350 days beyond historic highs.
Putting the pieces together
Bringing these topics together, Rekt Capital suggests that the Bitcoin bull market rally could occur between mid-December 2024 and early March 2025. However, amid this prediction, the analyst advises combining traditional and innovative perspectives to navigate the Bitcoin’s unpredictable path.
Also check out: Bitcoin Price Rises Above $64,000: Bull Run Phase 2 Begins?
Ready to ride the Bitcoin wave? Fasten your seatbelts – the bull run may have more room to advance!
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
-
Videos9 months ago
Bitcoin Price AFTER Halving REVEALED! What’s next?
-
Bitcoin8 months ago
Bitcoin Could Test Record Highs Next Week in ETF Flows, Says Analyst; Coinbase appears in the update
-
Videos9 months ago
Are cryptocurrencies in trouble? Bitcoin Insider Reveals “What’s Next?”
-
Videos9 months ago
Cryptocurrency Crash Caused by THIS…
-
Videos8 months ago
The REAL reason why cryptocurrency is going up!
-
Altcoin8 months ago
The best Altcoins to buy before they rise
-
Videos9 months ago
BlackRock Will Send Bitcoin to $116,000 in the Next 51 Days (XRP News)
-
Videos9 months ago
Donald Trump: I like Bitcoin now! Joe Biden HATES cryptocurrencies.
-
Videos8 months ago
Solana Cryptocurrencies: the future WILL SHOCK you | What comes next?
-
News9 months ago
TON, AKT, AR expect increases of 15%+ as the market stabilizes
-
Videos8 months ago
Bitcoin Whale REVEALS: The 5 Best Coins to Make You a Millionaire!
-
Videos8 months ago
BREAKING NEWS: The 19 best cryptocurrencies ready to skyrocket!