Bitcoin
The next administration must act quickly to maintain global leadership
The UK election is on July 4th and polls indicate that a new Labour government is inevitable. The crypto ecosystem in the UK has grown steadily under various, almost exclusively Conservative governments since the birth of Bitcoin 15 years ago. So what does this change in leadership mean for the future of crypto?
Laura Navaratnam is the UK policy lead at the Crypto Council for Innovation. The views expressed in this column are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of CoinDesk Inc. or its owners and affiliates.
Before the election was announced, the industry had become accustomed to a government that, of late, generally understood and supported crypto. In 2022, John Glen, the Economic Secretary to the Treasury (also known as Minister for the City) has promised to make the UK a global hub for crypto technologies. This promise was repeated by his successors Andrew Griffith in 2023 and, more recently, Bim Afolami, who urged Regulators must be careful when policing the crypto industry to ensure its success is not “undermined”. Broad powers have been introduced in the Financial Services and Markets Bill, bringing stablecoins under the regulatory remit of the Financial Conduct Authority, and clarity has been promised on the treatment of staking. Now, with Labour polling at around 41%, we are just days away from a sea change in 14 years of Conservative leadership.
The Labour Party published its manifest two weeks ago. There were no references to digital assets or anything adjacent. More surprisingly, there was no reference to financial services at all. We can only assume that the Labour Party has not developed a position on crypto and blockchain technologies – but that will need to change quickly. Fortunately, there are some areas where the Labour Party could quickly make positive impacts without having to commit huge amounts of time or resources.
Finalize regulation on stablecoins. For regulators to consult on the rules, the next government must establish the final piece of legislation to bring stablecoins within the regulatory scope. Based on previous promises that this would be done by the summer, the legislation is likely ready and waiting. The next Labour government needs to trust its Treasury policy experts and pass this legislation.
Regulatory clarity on betting. Again, this is an area where the industry has been promised clarity. As staking is a fundamental activity that ensures the continued security and evolution of blockchain networks, where and how it can be captured by financial services regulation is crucial to understand and get right.
Guidance on financial promotions. The so-called FinProm Rules have been effective for six months, and territorial breadth combined with rigorous specificity is creating regulatory chains across the industry as companies with debatable relevance fall under their purview. It is time to review the intent of the original policy and provide clarity to the industry about what is and is not in scope.
The digital asset ecosystem will not disappear. Regulators worldwide understand that, to maintain a competitive market, they must embrace Web3 and cryptographic assets, and introduce robust but proportionate regulatory regimes to manage the new reality.
Without swift and decisive action from the new government, the UK will go from being a global leader in innovation to becoming a fast follower of jurisdictions such as the European Union and South East Asia where regulatory regimes exist. Such concessions are difficult, perhaps impossible, to recover.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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