Bitcoin
Mt. Gox is a “thorn in Bitcoin’s side,” says analyst
Bitcoin has struggled amid the recent Mt. Gox payouts and market trends, but the bearish behavior should not be interpreted as unfavorable.
Last week, Bitcoin (BTC) concluded the week at approximately $55,850, marking an 11% drop from the previous week’s closing price of $62,775. The week saw a significant selling pressurewith BTC falling to $53,500 on Thursday before recovering to $58,250 and finally settling at $55,850.
BTC Spot ETFs have seen $238 million in net inflows during the crisis. The cumulative trading volume since inception is around $315 billion, showing a decline in trading activity. This is in line with typical market behavior, as Q3 usually witnesses lower trading activity.
“This data should not be seen negatively, but rather as a seasonal trend, especially among traditional financial investors,” noted Matteo Greco, research analyst at Fineqia International.
Interestingly, the decline showed no correlation with BTC Spot ETF flows, a deviation from historical patterns where ETF flows have significantly influenced price movements.
“However, for the first time since its inception, there is a noticeable decoupling between price action and capital flows, indicating that recent price behavior has been driven primarily by trading activity within the crypto-native space,” Greco added.
Mount Gox
The high sales pressure in the chain is due, in part, to the start of the long-awaited Mount Gox refunds.
Founded in 2010, Mt. Gox quickly became the world’s largest Bitcoin exchange. Its success was short-lived, as it abruptly ceased trading, closed its website, and filed for bankruptcy protection in early 2014, revealing the loss of approximately 850,000 BTC, worth around $450 million at the time, due to thefts from its hot wallets over several years, starting in late 2011.
The official confirmation of the refunds, marked by the movement of 47,228 BTC from a cold wallet associated with Mt. Gox, triggered market reactions. Furthermore, after a recent halving which reduced mining rewards by 50%, selling pressure from miners continues to affect prices, although it has eased recently.
The recent drawdown has notably reduced unrealized profits, driven by long-term holders selling their coins. The MVRV ratio now stands at around 1.5, indicating an average unrealized profit of 50% among market participants, down from over 200% in March.
“This trend suggests that the recent price action was primarily due to long-term holders taking profits and selling their coins to new buyers at higher purchase prices,” Greco added.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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