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JPMorgan, CoinShares Predict Bitcoin Shake-Up From $9 Billion Mt. Gox Payout

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JPMorgan, CoinShares Predict Bitcoin Shake-Up From $9 Billion Mt. Gox Payout

As Mt. Gox prepares to distribute approximately $9 billion in Bitcoin to its creditors, analysts at JPMorgan and CoinShares anticipate significant implications for BTC. Mt. Gox was once the largest Bitcoin

exchange before its collapse in 2014. Now, the collapsed exchange is set to return approximately 141,000 BTC to users who lost funds during its demise.

Impact of Mt. Gox Refund on Bitcoin

Mt. Gox’s imminent payout amounts to about 0.7% of the total 19.7 million Bitcoins currently in circulation, which is a significant share. Therefore, CoinShares head of research James Butterfill expressed concern about the potential market impact of this massive Bitcoin release. He highlighted that the release of this Bitcoin reserve has been a concern for those bullish on BTC.

Furthermore, it indicates a market sensitivity to news related to such events. Butterfill noted, “With the announcement that the Trust will begin selling in July, investors are understandably concerned,” according to a report by CNBC.

John Glover, Chief Investment Officer (CIO) at Ledn, echoed these sentiments. He foresees a scenario where many creditors may opt to sell their Bitcoins to realize gains. Glover noted, “Many will clearly cash out and take advantage of the fact that having their assets trapped in the Mt. Gox bankruptcy was the best investment they ever made.”

Furthermore, his observation highlights the dramatic increase in Bitcoin’s price since the closure of Mt. Gox. The price of BTC has skyrocketed from around $600 per coin in 2014 to over $63,200 today. Previously, Bitcoin even reached a high of $73,800 in March 2024, potentially due to the launch of spot BTC ETFs in January.

Furthermore, JP Morgan Analysts have also weighed in on the potential impact of Mt. Gox creditors liquidating their bitcoin holdings. They anticipate that the liquidation could put pressure on bitcoin prices in the short term. In a recent research note, JPMorgan analysts stated, “Assuming the majority of liquidations by Mt. Gox creditors occur in July, this creates a trajectory where cryptocurrency prices come under greater pressure in July but start to recover from August onwards.”

Read too: Breaking: US Government Moves $12 Million in Ethereum, Is Bitcoin-Style Sell-Off Coming?

Gemini Effect Will Continue With Mt. Gox Refund

The anticipation of these Bitcoin sales follows a similar pattern seen with Gemini, another cryptocurrency exchange. Earlier last month, Gemini returned more than $2 billion worth of Bitcoin to users in June. This event coincided with a significant recovery in the price of Bitcoin after Gemini resumed withdrawals from its Earn lending program, which had been suspended months earlier.

JPMorgan analysts also drew parallels with this recent event. They noted that the return of Gemini funds led to negative price movements as retail clients likely took profits from Bitcoin. Furthermore, they suggested that a similar scenario could happen with Mt. Gox’s creditors.

JPMorgan analysts expected that some lenders would choose to sell their Bitcoin holdings to capitalize on the crypto’s impressive gains. Additionally, a worrying sales trend has been observed in the German and North American governments. Today, the German government transferred another 400 BTC to Coinbase, Kraken and Bitstamp.

The latest dump brings the German government’s total Bitcoin liquidation to over 2,700 BTC since June. Additionally, the US government disposed of a staggering 4,000 BTC last month. These liquidations have had a massive impact on the price of Bitcoin due to the FUD in the market.

Furthermore, just the announcement of Mount Gox refunds pushed the price of BTC to $59,000 in June. This suggests that with the actual payment, the price of Bitcoin could be ready for an even bigger drop. Furthermore, miner capitulation increased due to a massive drop in hash price, suggesting further liquidations.

Read too: Latest News: German Government Dumps 400 BTC to Major Exchanges, Wave of Transfers Continues

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We are the editorial team of Altcoin Updates, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Altcoin Updates, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

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Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.

Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.

In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.

On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.

The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.

“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.

Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.

The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.

“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.

That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.

Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.

(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)

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India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Amitoj Singh

“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.

Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.

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