Bitcoin
John Bollinger warns of potential pullback amid rising Bitcoin price
Veteran trader John Bollinger, creator of Bollinger Bands, expressed caution about Bitcoin’s immediate future.
Bitcoin is up almost 13% in the last week and a half, reaching the US$71,000 mark for BTC. This recovery has led market analysts and traders to reevaluate your strategies as Bitcoin approaches its all-time high of $74,000.
Amid the bullish sentiment, Bollinger identified a worrying pattern on the Bitcoin price chart, suggesting a potential period of pullback or consolidation. He highlighted the appearance of a two-bar reversal at the top of the Bollinger Band, which often indicates a temporary market correction.
I don’t like the two-bar reversal in the upper Bollinger Band for $btcusd Suggests a console or a throwback. Not pessimistic here, just concerned about the short term. https://t.co/4567TCglIy
-John Bollinger (@bbands) May 21, 2024
Bollinger Bands are a popular tool among traders, helping to identify volatility and potential price reversals by plotting standard deviations above and below a simple moving average.
Although John Bollinger’s analysis suggests near-term concerns, the trader remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term prospects, a stance based on technical indicators rather than a fundamentally pessimistic outlook.
Bollinger’s outlook reflects current market sentiment, where optimism about Bitcoin’s future growth is balanced by an awareness of potential short-term volatility.
Meanwhile, Willy Woo, crypto analyst and co-founder of venture capital firm CMCC, highlighted a different aspect of Bitcoin’s market behavior.
On May 22 publish on X, Woo noted that although the price of Bitcoin had not risen significantly over the past two months, available BTC was being accumulated silently without an increase in paper BTC.
Woo believes it is only a matter of time before Bitcoin surpasses its all-time highs.
On the same day, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index was at 76. The 75-100 level shows an extreme level of greed and means that traders in the market are in the mood to buy more.
When the market rises, people tend to accumulate more cryptocurrencies, which means they become greedier, a phenomenon that leads to higher price movements.
The recent price movement and analyst sentiment come at a crucial time for Bitcoin, which is trading just 6% below its peak price. The market is watching closely to see if Bitcoin can surpass its previous high, a milestone that looks increasingly likely given its current trajectory.
At the time of writing, the world’s largest crypto asset was trading at $69,973, marking a 1.5% drop in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.
24-hour BTC price chart | Source: CoinMarketCap
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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