Connect with us

Bitcoin

Has Bitcoin Crashed? Here’s How You’ll Know

AltcoinUpdates Staff

Published

on

Has Bitcoin Crashed? Here's How You'll Know

Analysts at market intelligence platform CryptoQuant have outlined on-chain metrics that could indicate that the price of bitcoin (BTC) has bottomed out and cryptocurrencies are starting to recover again.

CryptoQuant’s latest weekly report mentioned signs such as increased bullish momentum, increased demand for BTC, and faster stablecoin liquidity growth as metrics to watch.

Highest Bullish Momentum

CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator Currently signals that the cryptocurrency market is at its least optimistic state since March 2023, when the United States banking crisis occurred.

With BTC hovering around $61,000 at the time of writing and having fallen to a one-month low of $58,500 earlier this week, the market needs some bullish momentum for prices to recover. This means that CryptoQuant’s Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator needs to rise above its 30-day simple moving average.

Furthermore, demand growth for Bitcoin needs to accelerate to levels seen in the first quarter of the year for prices to recover. While demand growth has recovered somewhat since May, it is still significantly slow compared to the rate seen earlier in the year, when U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were released.

The surge in purchases from long-term Bitcoin holders could signal that the price of the leading digital asset has bottomed out. This group of investors is currently buying BTC at a monthly pace of 72,000 BTC, a far cry from the Q1 monthly pace of 160,000 BTC. While the pace has recovered slightly from May’s rate of 68,000 BTC, much higher purchases are needed for prices to regain upward momentum.

A possible important correction

Bitcoin’s final price support level is $56,000, based on Metcalfe’s price assessment ranges, which marked resistance and upper levels in the previous cycle. Any drop below this support level could trigger a major correction that would wipe out even more value from the market. Hence, this level can determine whether Bitcoin has bottomed out or not.

Additionally, traders’ on-chain unrealized profit margins turning positive could signal entry rallies. An increase in the flow of Bitcoin from other exchanges to Coinbase signals an increase in demand for Bitcoin from US investors, which is generally correlated with higher prices.

Finally, an acceleration in stablecoin liquidity, often seen in the 60-day growth of Tether’s (USDT) market cap, indicates an influx of capital into the market – a crucial metric needed for prices to move north.

Fuente

We are the editorial team of Altcoin Updates, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Altcoin Updates, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Información básica sobre protección de datos Ver más

  • Responsable: Miguel Mamador.
  • Finalidad:  Moderar los comentarios.
  • Legitimación:  Por consentimiento del interesado.
  • Destinatarios y encargados de tratamiento:  No se ceden o comunican datos a terceros para prestar este servicio. El Titular ha contratado los servicios de alojamiento web a Banahosting que actúa como encargado de tratamiento.
  • Derechos: Acceder, rectificar y suprimir los datos.
  • Información Adicional: Puede consultar la información detallada en la Política de Privacidad.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

AltcoinUpdates Staff

Published

on

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.

Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.

In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.

On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.

The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.

“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.

Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.

The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.

“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.

That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.

Fuente

Continue Reading

Bitcoin

How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

AltcoinUpdates Staff

Published

on

How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.

Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.

(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)

Fuente

Continue Reading

Bitcoin

India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report

AltcoinUpdates Staff

Published

on

Amitoj Singh

“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”

Fuente

Continue Reading

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

AltcoinUpdates Staff

Published

on

Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.

Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.

Fuente

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2024 ALTCOINUPDATES.XYZ All rights reserved. This website provides educational content and highlights that investing involves risks. It is essential to conduct thorough research before investing and to be prepared to assume potential losses. Be sure to fully understand the risks involved before making investment decisions. Important: We do not provide financial or investment advice. All content is presented for educational purposes only.