Ethereum
Can Ethereum ETFs Push ETH Price Past $5,000 By Q3?
As July approaches, Ethereum ETFs, which received the partial green light from the US SEC on May 23, are close to their official launch. Many investors are wondering whether the price of Ethereum (ETH) will follow the reaction of Bitcoin (BTC) to its associated financial instruments in January.
But that answer lies in the future, which could begin in a few days. In the meantime, the on-chain analysis provides actionable insights that can predict whether the altcoin is following a likely pattern.
Altcoin investors are in a good mood
The change in registration documents is one of the factors that has delayed live trading of Ethereum spot ETFs. However, in a recent interviewSEC Chairman Gary Gensler confirmed that everything is going well.
Furthermore, a report from anonymous sources from the regulatory agency reveals that the products will launch on July 4.
Following the development, BeInCrypto has been monitoring holders’ behavior towards ETH. According to our findings, ETH holders display a strong trust in the cryptocurrency. We discovered this after examining the LTH-NUPL provided by the analytical platform Glassnode.
The metric stands for Long Term Holder-Net Unrealized Profit/Loss. It measures the behavior of holders who have owned a cryptocurrency for more than 155 days. As shown in the table below, different colors exist for different feelings.
Learn more: Ethereum ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works
Ethereum LTH-NUPL. Source: Glass node
While red indicates capitulation, orange signifies fear. Yellow indicates optimism, while blue suggests greed. Currently, Ethereum’s LTH-NUPL is in the belief zone (green). When this happens, long-term investors are confident about an upcoming price rally.
However, ETH has seen a 12.75% decline in the last 30 days as it trades at $3,365. In situations like this, the overall sentiment should be bearish. So, while perception leans towards confidence, the highly anticipated development This seems to be the reason. If this holds until launch day, it may boost demand for ETH.
Ethereum Knocks Bitcoin Out of the Way
In the meantime, perception alone cannot move prices. Therefore, we evaluate another indicator that can affect the altcoin price, namely the ETH/BTC ratio. This ratio indicates whether Bitcoin outperforms Ethereum or the other way around. More specifically, if the ETH/BTC ratio is high, it means that ETH is outperforming Bitcoin.
However, a low ratio implies that BTC is outperforming ETH. At the time of writing, the ratio is 0.055, which is up 2.33% over the past seven days. This means that today, one ETH can buy 0.055 BTC.
ETH/BTC ratio. Source: TradingView
If the ratio continues to increase, Bitcoin’s market dominance will decrease. Thus, Ethereum can move higher while its price can climb much higher. Considering Bitcoin’s performance, the price has increased by 56.95% in less than two months after its approval.
If ETH follows a similar move, the cryptocurrency’s value will reach $5,308 before the end of the third quarter (Q3). Now let’s look at the value of altcoin short-term potential.
ETH price prediction: its price is not taken into account
According to the daily chart, the 20 (blue) and 50 (yellow) EMAs are above the Ethereum price. EMA stands for Exponential Moving Average. It is an indicator that measures the direction of a trend over a given period.
When the EMA is below the price, it indicates that the bulls are defending it. However, the fact that the indicator is above the price lends credence to the downside. If conditions remain the same, ETH could drop to $3,278. This position also shows that ETH is not yet considered.
In simple terms, this means that the economic impact of the upcoming development has not yet been reflected in the current market price. Therefore, it can be assumed that the value still has upside potential.
However, both EMAs are about to reach the same point. If this happens, The price of ETH will move sideways, potentially consolidating between $3,355 and $3,610. However, if the 20 EMA reverses the 50 EMA (bullish crossover), the altcoin could enter the resistance at $3,866.
Learn more: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
Daily analysis of Ethereum. Source : Trading View
In a very bullish scenario, ETH could replicate its performance between February and March, reaching $4,059 before the end of July.
Additionally, the value of capital inflows is a major concern for investors. According to online comments, a number of analysts are unsure whether Ethereum ETFs can generate the kind of volume that Bitcoin has achieved.
However, a previous forecasts placed inflows at $569 million monthly. If Ethereum matches this volume, a rally above the altcoin’s all-time high could occur in a short period of time.
But if the reception to the development is limited to “words without action,” the price of ETH could fall, possibly reaching another 10% drop.
Disclaimer
In accordance with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to providing accurate and unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always do your own research and consult a professional before making any financial decision. Please note that our Terms and conditions, Privacy PolicyAnd Disclaimer have been updated.
Ethereum
Cryptocurrency liquidations surpass $200 million as Ethereum and Bitcoin plummet
Cryptocurrency market liquidations hit their highest level in a week on Wednesday as the price of Bitcoin fell below $60,000.
Over the past 24 hours, over 74,000 traders have been liquidated for $208 million, CoinGlass the data shows it.
The majority of those losses, about $184 million, went to investors holding long positions who had bet on a price rise.
The largest liquidations hit Ethereum investors, at $55.5 million, almost entirely on long positions, the data showed.
Current issues surrounding US monetary policy, geopolitical tensions, and the upcoming US presidential election in November are expected to impact the price of the leading cryptocurrency throughout 2024.
Bitcoin abandoned The stock price fell from $62,200 to $59,425 intraday. The asset has since recovered its losses above $60,200, but is still down 3% over the past 24 hours.
Solana, the world’s fifth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, was the worst hit among the top 10 cryptocurrencies, down about 8% to $140. Solana had been riding high on New York investment management firm VanEck’s filing of its Solana Trust exchange-traded fund late last month.
Major cryptocurrencies have been falling over the past month. Ethereum has fallen more than 12% over 30 days despite growing interest in the launch of Ethereum spot ETFs.
Some analysts predict that new financial products could begin marketing in mid-Julywith at least one company predicting that the price of ETH will then take offBitcoin is down 12% over the same period.
Certainly, analysts always see further price increases this yearThe current market cooling represents a precursor to another major price surge in the coming months, Decrypt reported Monday.
On Wednesday, analytics firm CryptoQuant released a report examining Bitcoin Mining Metrics and highlighted the conditions for a return of prices to current levels.
Edited by Sebastian Sinclair.
Ethereum
Volume up 90%: good for ETH price?
Ethereum (ETH) has emerged as a beacon in the sea of blockchains, with a staggering 92% increase in decentralized application (dApp) volume over the past week. But the news comes with a layer of complexity, revealing a landscape of both opportunity and potential setbacks for the leading blockchain.
Cheap gas fuels the fire
Analysts attribute the explosion in decentralized application volume to the Dencun upgrade in March, which significantly reduced gas costs – the cost associated with processing transactions on the Ethereum network.
Lower transaction fees have always attracted users, and this recent development seems to be no exception. The surge in activity suggests a revitalized Ethereum that is likely to attract new projects and foster a more vibrant dApp ecosystem.
NFT craze drives numbers up
While overall dApp volume (see chart below) paints a positive picture, a closer look reveals a more nuanced story. This surge appears to be driven primarily by an increase in NFT (non-fungible token) trading and staking activity.
Source: DappRadar
Apps like Blur and Uniswap’s NFT aggregator have seen significant surges, highlighting the rise of the NFT market on Ethereum. This trend indicates a thriving niche in the Ethereum dApp landscape, but raises questions about the platform’s diversification beyond NFTs.
A look at user engagement
A curious problem emerges when looking at user engagement metrics. Despite the impressive increase in volume, the number of unique active wallets (UAWs) on the Ethereum network has actually decreased.
Ethereum is now trading at $3,316. Chart: TradingView
This disconnect suggests that current activity could be driven by a smaller, more active user base. While high volume is certainly a positive indicator, seeing broader user participation is essential to ensuring the sustainability of the dApp ecosystem.
A glimmer of hope ?
A positive long-term indicator for Ethereum is the trend of decreasing holdings on the exchange, as reported by Glass nodeThis suggests that ETH holders are moving their assets off exchanges, potentially reducing selling pressure and contributing to price stability.
If this trend continues, ETH could potentially target $4,000 this quarter or even surpass its all-time high. However, this price prediction remains speculative and depends on various market forces.
Ether price expected to rise in coming weeks. Source: CoinCodex
Ethereum at a Crossroads
Ethereum is at a crossroads. Dencun Upgrade has clearly revitalized dApp activity, particularly in the NFT space. However, uneven dApp performance and the decline of the UAW are raising concerns about the long-term sustainability of this growth. Network growth, measured by the number of new addresses joining the network, is also slowing, according to Santiment, which could potentially hamper wider adoption.
The short-term price outlook for ETH remains uncertain. While long-term indicators, such as declining exchange holdings, suggest potential for price appreciation, slowing network growth could lead to a price decline in the short term.
Look forward to
The coming months will be crucial for Ethereum. The platform must capitalize on the renewed interest in dApps by attracting a broader user base and fostering a more diverse dApp ecosystem beyond NFTs. Addressing scalability issues and ensuring user-friendly interfaces will also be essential to sustain growth.
If Ethereum can overcome these challenges, it has the potential to cement its position as the premier platform for decentralized applications. However, if it fails to adapt, other waiting blockchains could capitalize on its shortcomings.
Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
Ethereum
Ethereum, Bitcoin, and XRP Behind $1.5 Billion Losses in Cryptocurrency Scams
The first half of 2024 has seen a surge in major hacks in the cryptocurrency sector. Ethereum (ETH)Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP have resulted in losses of over $1.5 billion due to cryptocurrency scams. This year, over 200 major incidents have resulted in losses of approximately $1.56 billion.
Cryptocurrency Scam Losses Reach $1.5 Billion
According to data from Peck Shield Alert, only $319 million in lost crypto funds have been recovered. Furthermore, this year’s losses represent a staggering 293% increase over the same period in 2023, when losses totaled $480 million.
Overview of Cryptocurrency Scams in 2024, Source: PeckShieldAlert | X
Additionally, DeFi protocols have been the top targets for hackers, accounting for 59% of the total value stolen. More than 20 public chains have suffered major hacks during this period. Additionally, Ethereum, Bitcoin, and XRP top the list for the amount lost via cryptocurrency hacks.
Additionally, Ethereum and BNB Chain were the most frequently targeted, each accounting for 31.3% of the total hacks. Meanwhile, Arbitrum followed with 12.5% of the attacks. One of the most significant incidents occurred on June 3, 2024.
Bitcoin DMMa major Japanese cryptocurrency exchange, reported a major breach. Attackers stole 4,502.9 BTC, worth over $300 million at the time. The incident highlighted the vulnerabilities of exchanges, especially those that handle large volumes of digital assets.
Read also : XRP News: Whale Moves 63 Million Coins as Ripple Strengthens Its Case
Major XRP, ETH and BTC hacks
A week after the DMM Bitcoin attack on June 10, UwU Loana decentralized finance (DeFi) lending protocol, was compromised. The breach resulted in a loss of approximately $19.3 million in digital assets. The hack underscores the ongoing risks associated with DeFi platforms, which often operate with less regulatory oversight. The platform later offered a $5 million reward to catch the hacker.
Earlier this year, on February 3, 2024, Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen confirmed a major security breach involving his personal wallets. Initially, rumors circulated that Ripple itself was targeted. However, Larsen clarified that the hack involved his digital wallets and not Ripple’s corporate assets.
The hackers managed to transfer 213 million XRP tokens, worth approximately $112.5 million. Additionally, on-chain detective ZachXBT first alerted the community about the suspicious transactions. In response to the theft, Larsen and various cryptocurrency exchanges took swift action to mitigate the impact.
Several exchanges, including MEXC, Gate, Binance, Kraken, OKX, HTX, and HitBTC, collaborated to freeze a significant portion of the stolen funds. Binance alone froze $4.2 million worth of XRP to aid in the investigation.
Additionally, on April 2, 2024, FixedFloat, a Bitcoin Lightning-based exchange, experienced a security breach. Unauthorized transactions resulted in financial losses exceeding $3 million. This incident highlighted ongoing security issues for FixedFloat, following a similar breach earlier in the year.
The company has also faced significant challenges securing its platform against repeated attacks. Additionally, in February, hackers stole $26 million worth of Ethereum and Bitcoin from FixedFloat. These digital assets were then transferred to exchanges for profit.
Read also : Ethereum Doubles Bitcoin’s Network Fee Revenue, Thanks to Layer-2
Ethereum
Ethereum’s Year-Over-Year Revenue Tops Charts, Hitting $2.7 Billion
Ethereum blockchain has been in first place for a year incomesurpassing all major blockchains.
According to data provided by Lookonchain, Ethereum generated $2.72 billion in annual revenue, surpassing the Bitcoin network by a margin of $1.42 billion. The data shows that Bitcoin accumulated $1.3 billion in revenue over the same period.
Defi Llama Data watch that Ethereum is still the leader in decentralized finance (challenge) with a total value locked (TVL) of $58.4 billion, or 60.9% of the entire market. The blockchain recorded a 30-day fee revenue of $131 million, according to the data aggregator.
Bitcoin’s TVL is currently set at $1 billion.
The network of the second largest cryptocurrency, ETH, witness a 155% year-over-year increase in its fee revenue in the first quarter of this year, as the cryptocurrency market saw a bullish trend.
Tron comes in third with annual revenue of $459 million. Solana and BSC also recorded nine-figure revenues of $241 million and $176 million, respectively.
Notably, Tron is the second largest chain in the challenge scene with a TVL of $7.7 billion. BSC and Solana take third and fourth place with TVLs of $4.8 billion and $4.5 billion, according to Defi Llama.
Avalanche, zkSync Era, Optimism and Polygon reached the top 10 with $68 million, $59 million, $40 million and $23 million in year-over-year revenue, respectively.
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