Bitcoin
Bitcoin Open Interest Hits Record Levels: Could $80K Be Next?
- The coin’s open interest has reached the highest point since March, suggesting BTC could surpass $73,750.
- Foreign exchange withdrawals increased while the funding rate was positive, reinforcing the upward bias.
For the first time since reaching its all-time high of $73,570, Bitcoin [BTC] Open interest reached a new record. Specifically, open interest was $37.66 billion, according to Glassnode data.
Open Interest (OI) is the value of open contracts in the derivatives market. If the OI decreases, it means that traders are closing more and more of their positions, and this could lead to a price drop.
However, a rise in OI like Bitcoin did recently is a sign that new money is entering the market. If sustained, this could support BTC’s uptrend and lead to a higher price.
BTC aims higher, supported by exchange flow
At the time of writing, BTC changed hands at $71,200. This represented a jump of 3.89% in the last seven days. As interest in the token increases, there is a high chance that it could overcome its all-time high and will possibly reach $80,000.
Despite the optimistic forecast, it is important to watch spot trading activity on exchanges as this can also affect price movement.
One of the ways to do this is to look at the supply on exchanges and the supply outside of them. Additionally, the balance of some major exchanges can give you an idea.
For example, AMBCrypto found that historical balances on Binance and Coinbase dropped, indicating that users were withdrawing their BTC from the platforms. However, Kraken recorded an increase in BTC shopping on May 30, before the recent decline.
It appeared that many holders were buying more coins on exchanges and withdrawing them over the long term. If this continues to be the case, Bitcoin could escape selling pressure and the price could reach an all-time high before the end of June.
Traders continue to bet on the rise
On the other hand, the forecast could be invalidated if the supply on the exchanges starts to increase. This is because an increase in supply would mean that investors would be willing to book profits. If this happens, BTC could lose $70,000.
However, traders do not seem to share the point of view of reducing prices. This was based on Funding Rate data obtained from Coinglass.
According to the derivatives information portal, Bitcoin Financing rate was positive. If the metric reading is negative, it implies that shorts are paying a fee to longs to keep their position open.
In this case, the broader sentiment is bearish.
To read Bitcoins [BTC] Price prediction 2024-2025
However, the positive reading of the metric indicated that longs are dominant and expect BTC price to rise. Bitcoin should rise to $74,000 while being talked abouttraders with long positions would be rewarded.
This could also give way to $80,000 as long as the bears fail to destroy the uptrend.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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