Bitcoin
Bitcoin at Four-Month Low: Why Is Cryptocurrency Market Down Despite Market Rally?
Bitcoin Price: Early on July 5th, Bitcoin fell more than 8% to $53,523, which traders noted was below chart support at $55,000, and to its lowest price in four months since February 2024, Reuters reported.
Furthermore, the largest in the world cryptocurrency in terms of market capitalization, it lost part of its weekly gains of 12%, even as global markets signaled green.
Beyond Bitcoin, Ether also fell 9 percent — a two-month low for the crypto. Other smaller coins, such as Cardano and XRP, also saw losses of more than 10 percent, according to Bloomberg.
Points of concern
Traders predicted the dump of long-lost assets files of Mt. Gox, a now-defunct Japanese cryptocurrency exchange, which media reports said would return Bitcoin to creditors and further “frightened” selling by leveraged investors, the Reuters report added.
Mt. Gox collapsed in 2014. There are fears that the $8 billion worth of tokens being released in stages would lead to further sell-offs. The Bloomberg report cited Arkham Intelligence to note that one wallet linked to Mt. Gox alone moved $2.7 billion worth of its tokens as of July 5.
“Selling pressure is still related to the sell-off by creditors of the failed Mt Gox exchange. However, the acceleration to the downside suggests the market is trying to get ahead of creditor flows,” said Tony Sycamore, a Marketplace IG analyst told Reuters.
There is also uncertainty about the Democrats’ replacement Joe Biden as its presidential candidate with someone less supportive of cryptocurrency. The Reuters report added that the initial momentum of U.S.-based Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) also appears to have petered out. Bitcoin hit a record high of $73,803.25 in March, supported by the Bitcoin ETF.
In a likely bullish call, Stefan von Haenisch, head of trading at OSL SG Pte, told Bloomberg that the cryptocurrency market needs “more moderate notes on monetary policy from the Federal Reserve” and that “a rate cut or two, coupled with the expansion of the Fed’s balance sheet, are two key ingredients that cryptocurrencies are really waiting for.”
The Bloomberg report also noted that investors are awaiting jobs data to gauge the Fed’s likely action.
(With input from Reuters and Bloomberg)
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Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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