Bitcoin
Bitcoin and Ethereum Investors Suffer as Bearish Sentiment Takes Over
- Bearish sentiment in the cryptocurrency sector was increasing.
- Bitcoin and Ethereum have witnessed a decline in profitable and short-term holders.
Analysis of Santiment data by AMBCrypto revealed that bearish sentiment in the cryptocurrency sector was increasing.
The bears jump forward
According to the data, there has been a dramatic drop in optimistic sentiment on online forums such as X, Reddit, Telegram, 4Chan and BitcoinTalk.
Traders have apparently lost faith in the markets, with bullish calls dropping significantly. Interestingly, bearish calls have also declined, but at a much slower pace.
Fearful investors who were previously optimistic may now be more likely to sell their holdings, driving down asset prices. Bitcoin [BTC] It is Ethereum [ETH] In short time. This could trigger a domino effect as others panic, further increasing the decline.
However, the significant drop in bullish forecasts could also indicate a capitulation event, where investors have exhausted their hopes and are forced to sell.
Selling pressure may eventually subside, leading to a period of consolidation and potentially a market bottom for BTC and ETH.
A story of two holders
At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $61,361.69 and its price has fallen by 0.67% in the last 24 hours.
During this period, the MVRV to BTC rate dropped significantly. A drop in the MVRV rate implied that along with the price, the profitability of most holders had also decreased.
Along with this, BTC’s Long/Short difference also fell. A declining Long/Short ratio indicated that the number of long-term holders had declined compared to the number of short-term holders that were flooding the market.
These short-term holders are unreliable and can be significantly influenced by market fluctuations. If volatility persists, there could be more downward pressure on BTC in the long run.
Along with BTC, ETH could also face significant selling pressure. This is due to the fact that Ethereum and Bitcoin are highly correlated. Data from IntotheBlock revealed that the correlation between these two coins was 0.86 at the time of writing.
To read Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024-25
In terms of price, ETH was trading at $3,432.61 and in the last 24 hours it had grown by 1.37%.
The MVRV ratio and Long/Short difference for ETH have also decreased, implying a decisive number of profitable addresses and short-term holders.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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