News
Changing market leadership, bitcoin in trouble: market conclusions
Yahoo Finance Jared Blikre joins Asking for a Trend to break down his key takeaways from the trading day.
Blikre explains that stock market leadership is constantly changing. While tech and megacaps led, energy rose as crude oil hovered above $80 a barrel. Financial and basic necessities stocks are also on the rise, upsetting the market rankings.
Blikre also points out that July is historically a good month for the Nasdaq (^IXIC). The first 10 days of the month usually see the index’s best performance, and this July could be no different.
Finally, bitcoin (BTC-USD) is located in front of the cliff of Mt. Gox. The former cryptocurrency exchange is set to distribute 140,000 as part of its bankruptcy settlement.
For more expert insights and the latest market action, click Here to watch the full episode of Asking for a Trend.
This post was written by Melanie Riehl
Video transcription
The NASDAQ S and P 500 staff slipped three days today as NVIDIA stock rallies.
Join me now with others on the train of the day.
What should be taken away is that Yahoo finances its own Jared Bli Jared.
Thanks, Josh.
Take away the number one leadership of the stock market.
It’s constantly changing right now.
We have seen the NASDAQ and the Dow trade across the board.
Uh, but in the last few days we have seen a change in trend, which today has reversed.
So let me break it all down here.
Here’s the industry action for what we saw today.
Technology and communications services that are meta, alphabet and XL C. Those were number one, this is the mega cap trade that is doing very well.
We’ve known this for the last couple of years, but in the last seven days or so we’ve seen other sectors really rise to the forefront.
And here, over the course of seven days, we see energy, crude oil, above $80 a barrel.
There’s XL C in the area again.
So we’re still in the mix, but then we have the financials and the consumer staples.
So a different mix at the top.
And then here we have real estate, which is down 1.8%, but didn’t get much out of it.
Uh, but all in all it’s kind of a leadership change and we can see that with software now, software is also going under the hood, you see the other sectors and sub-sectors as well.
Jared.
Yes.
And I think the big takeaway for software is the software.
You know, people think of technology as a monolith, but you have software and chip stocks, you have other things too, but the software is not doing well.
But I want to show you this graph right here.
Um, this is an intraday chart that looks surprisingly similar to the five-year chart, it’s just a coincidence, but right now we have software that is forming a cup and a handle.
The story continues
This is a handle that has not yet broken upwards.
But if and when he pays attention, there are all the right levels to keep an eye on.
Second point.
YES.
Um, well, the second point has to do with July, that’s all.
We talked about it last week.
So I took that table plus another.
This is the new graph.
This is July just 20 years ago on the NASDAQ.
So each of these is July.
Only.
What you can see is that 10 of the last 11 years have been positive there and it’s incredible.
So you have to ask yourself: are we going to be pro-profit?
Of all this July.
Well, guess what, these are the first 10 days in the last 10 days of every single month and what we’ve shown is a chart that we looked at last week.
July here, the first ten days of July are the best of the year.
So we might see, you know, another big pop in July, let’s say Jared June, let’s say we sail into July.
Right?
Does this change the way you think about what might happen?
Sorry, set sail around July, you know it changes the way the picture of seasonality is painted here.
Well, this is interesting because today we saw a resurgence of this mega cap trade.
I think if we saw some outsized returns over the next few days through the end of the month, this kind of declines.
So you might think of it as increasing some of that demand.
So maybe July doesn’t necessarily have to come if we finish June with a bank.
But you know, if we go sideways down over the next few days, I would still be looking for that July pop.
All right.
Takeaway, Jared Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is located in front of the cliff of Mount Gox.
And for those of you who remember 10 years ago in Bitcoin, Mount Gox was the largest cryptocurrency exchange with 70% of all global volume and it crashed, it actually got hacked, they lost something like 750,000 Bitcoin.
Guess what?
There’s 100 and 40,000 of them that are sitting there, they have to be distributed by a trustee in Japan because that’s where the company is based.
Once 100 and 40,000 Bitcoins 9 billion dollars.
If they were all to hit the market at the same time, you could imagine the deluge of sales that would occur there.
They are worried about selling pressure.
Yes.
Uh Pull up the technicals, give me the, the Jared, take out the Bitcoin when the charts tell you right now.
Now here we speak my language.
Here, here is Bitcoin.
You can see that it’s down 4.6% from the trill.
Seven days, up 4.5% today.
You know, in recent years the situation has been quite tough, but it has recovered.
There’s also that Monk Cliff, in Germany, he was selling some Bitcoin that had been confiscated there, you know, into cryptocurrency, you never know the whole story, right?
But here’s the five-year chart and here’s what I want to show you.
Here’s another cup, here’s another handle.
This is higher, higher than this.
But we are still just reporting here waiting to break out until this range is broken.
It does not mean anything.
Alright, here’s what to watch Jared.
Thank’s my friend.
News
How Ether Spot ETF Approval Could Impact Crypto Prices: CNBC Crypto World
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CNBC Crypto World features the latest news and daily trading updates from the digital currency markets and gives viewers a glimpse of what’s to come with high-profile interviews, explainers and unique stories from the ever-changing cryptocurrency industry. On today’s show, Ledn Chief Investment Officer John Glover weighs in on what’s driving cryptocurrency prices right now and how the potential approval of spot ether ETFs could impact markets.
News
Miners’ ‘Capitulation’ Signals Bitcoin Price May Have Bottomed Out: CryptoQuant
According to CryptoQuant, blockchain data shows signs that the Bitcoin mining industry is “capitulating,” a likely precursor to Bitcoin hitting a local price bottom before reaching new highs.
CryptoQuant analyzed metrics for miners, who are responsible for securing the Bitcoin network in exchange for newly minted BTC. As outlined in the market intelligence platform’s Wednesday report, multiple signs of capitulation have emerged over the past month, during which Bitcoin’s price has fallen 13% from $68,791 to $59,603.
One such sign includes a significant drop in Bitcoin’s hash rate, the total computing power that backs Bitcoin. After hitting a record high of 623 exashashes per second (EH/s) on April 27, the hash rate has fallen 7.7% to 576 EH/s, its lowest level in four months.
“Historically, extreme hash rate drawdowns have been associated with price bottoms,” CryptoQuant wrote. In particular, the 7.7% drawdown is reminiscent of an equivalent hash rate drawdown in December 2022, when Bitcoin’s price bottomed at $16,000 before rallying over 300% over the next 15 months.
This latest hash rate drop follows Bitcoin’s fourth cyclical “halving” event in April, which cut the number of coins paid out to miners in half. According to CryptoQuant’s Miner Profit/Loss Sustainability Indicator, this has left miners “mostly extremely underpaid” since April 20, forcing many to shut down mining machines that have now become unprofitable.
CrypotoQuant said that miners faced a 63% drop in daily revenue after the halving, when both Bitcoin block rewards and transaction fee revenues were much higher.
During this time, Bitcoin miners were seen moving coins from their on-chain wallets at a faster rate than usual, indicating that they may be selling their BTC reserves“Daily miner outflows reached their highest volume since May 21,” the company wrote.
Among the sales of Bitcoin miners, whales and national governmentsBitcoin’s price drop in June also hurt Bitcoin’s “hash price,” a metric of Bitcoin Miner Profitability per unit of computing power.
“Average mining revenue per hash (hash price) continues to hover near all-time lows,” CryptoQuant wrote. “Hashprice stands at $0.049 per EH/s, just above the all-time low hashprice of $0.045 reached on May 1st.”
By Ryan-Ozawa.
News
US Congressman French Hill Doubles Down on Trump’s Pro-Crypto Stance
US lawmaker French Hill has noted that Donald Trump will take a more pro-crypto approach than the current administration. The run-up to the presidential election has seen cryptocurrencies become an issue with lawmakers making huge statements ahead of the polls. Donald Trump has also been reaching out to the industry, making a pro-crypto case.
French Hill Backs Trump’s Pro-Crypto Stance
Republican Congressman French Hill has explained the type of cryptocurrency regulatory framework he believes Donald Trump could adopt in the country. In a recent interview with CNBC, French Hill said that the recently passed FIT21 bill is the type of regulatory framework the Trump administration will adopt in the sector.
#FIT21 passed the House with 71 Democratic votes, it’s exactly the kind of digital asset regulatory framework former President Trump would support if re-elected.
See more on @SquawkCNBC🔽 photo.twitter.com/ceTmU4LApU
— French Hill (@RepFrenchHill) July 3, 2024
THE FIT21 Bill It is intended to protect investors and consumers in the market by establishing clear rules and powers for the various regulators in the sector. According to Hill, Trump will adopt it because it directs the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on the specific regulatory framework needed in the market.
“… for people who are innovating and starting a crypto token, a related business, custody of those assets, how to ensure consumer protection, so I think that framework is the right approach and that’s what I’m going to recommend to the President to pass, which is that we have not passed it between now and the end of this Congress.”
He also called Trump an innovative and pro-growth president in financial matters.
Cryptocurrency is going mainstream
This election cycle saw the cryptocurrency industry taking a place in mainstream issues following broader adoption across demographics. From candidates moving toward enthusiasts to recent pro-Congress legislation, cryptocurrencies have become a rallying point for officials. The U.S. regulatory landscape has been criticized for stifling growth due to frequent SEC LawsuitsThis has led executives to push for pro-cryptocurrency laws and raise money for pro-industry candidates.
Read also: Federal Reserve Predicts “AI Will Be Deflationary” to Stimulate Economy
David is a financial news contributor with 4 years of experience in Blockchain and cryptocurrency. He is interested in learning about emerging technologies and has an eye for breaking news. Keeping up to date with trends, David has written in several niches including regulation, partnerships, cryptocurrency, stocks, NFTs, etc. Away from the financial markets, David enjoys cycling and horseback riding.
News
US Court Orders Sam Ikkurty to Pay $84 Million for Cryptocurrency Ponzi Scheme
A federal court has ordered Jafia LLC and its owner, Sam Ikkurty, to pay nearly $84 million to cryptocurrency investors after ruling that the company was operating a Ponzi scheme.
The ruling, issued by Judge Mary Rowland in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois, follows a lawsuit filed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in 2022 after the fund collapsed.
Judge Rowland found that Ikkurty, based in Portland, Oregon, did numerous false claims on his company’s hedge funds.
These included misleading statements about his trading experience and the promise of high and stable profits. Instead, Ikkurty used funds from new investors to pay off previous investors, a hallmark of a Ponzi scheme.
The Ponzi Scheme
The court found that Ikkurty misappropriated investment funds for personal use without the knowledge of the investors. These funds were used for personal use and were reported as Fraudulent Investmentscausing significant financial losses to customers.
This non-transparent operation violated Transparency Commission regulations, which led to the imposition of a hefty fine to compensate defrauded investors and restore some public confidence in the financial system.
Judge Rowland emphasized that fraudulent activity such as this violates the law and undermines the integrity of modern financial markets. The $84 million award seeks to address the financial harm inflicted on investors and reinforce the importance of legal compliance in cryptocurrency trading.
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