Bitcoin
Will prices easily “explode” beyond $74,000 or fall due to miners’ capitulation?
Bitcoin prices have been trending lower in recent weeks and generally remain within a bearish formation. Although momentum appears to be building, bulls are not out of the woods yet.
Analysts are not losing hope and remain overly optimistic, expecting a surge that would take the world’s most valuable currency to new heights.
Bitcoin forms a “cup and handle” formation on the weekly chart
In a post on X, one of them, MikybullCrypto, he said Bitcoin has formed a “cup and handle” reversal pattern, suggesting an imminent rise towards new all-time highs. This formation is a glimmer of hope for optimistic traders, especially now that prices have been moving lower and sideways, erasing the gains recorded in March.
BTC forms a cup and handle pattern | Source: @MikybullCrypto via X
The “cup and handle” formation is a technical pattern used by chartists to identify possible reversals and confirm trend continuation. In the current setup, as identified by the trader on the weekly chart, the “handle” was formed following the recent price drop from all-time highs. The “cup” follows the fall in prices in 2022 and the subsequent recovery in 2023.
Historically, if there is a breakout above the handle and cup rim, prices tend to rise to new levels. For this reason, the analyst says that if buyers push from spot rates, the breakout above the current range and all-time highs of $73,800 will be “explosive.”
Bitcoin Prices Trending Up on Daily Chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView
For now, prices remain in a descending channel with clear resistance levels marked in the immediate around $66,000 and $72,000. A breakout, reading the candlestick formation on the daily chart, above these liquidation levels could stimulate demand, pushing the coin to new highs.
Will miners abandon BTC and force prices down?
However, behind the optimistic outlook is a potential storm cloud: declining activity on the network. After the brief increase in activity on the network on Halving Day due to the launch of Rune protocoltransaction fees have been decreasing.
According to Y Chartsit is currently at $3,206, down from $128 on April 20. This contraction means that miners are earning less revenue, increasing pressure now that there is more pressure on margins following the Halving.
Now that miners are feeling the impact of reduced block rewards and declining transaction fees, it is likely that they may liquidate some of your BTC to stay afloat. Their participation, especially in the secondary market, would increase pressure on BTC, forcing prices to fall.
Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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