Bitcoin
Will it be $70,000 or $56,000 this week?
A new tailwind is circulating in the crypto market, awakening the price of Bitcoin but favoring meme coins like Shiba Inu and Pepê Currency. Investors are buoyant with hopes of seeing higher weekly closes after weeks of increasing uncertainty. This Bitcoin price prediction seeks to assess the technical and fundamental structure of Bitcoin prior to the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report in the USA.
Bitcoin price prediction before CPI data release
The CPI is one of the most valuable measures of inflation in the United States. It measures the overall change in the prices of goods and services purchased by people in the economy over time.
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is the organization that calculates and releases CPI metrics as a weighted average. Market watchers and economists eagerly await the BLS to release the data on May 15.
If inflation persists in April, the level of risk in volatile assets like Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies and stocks will increase. Price movement in recent weeks has sparked a further correction towards $50,000, although support at $56,500 helped drive the bull run narrative last week.
This week also ups the ante for bulls, with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell making a public comment on May 14. At the same time, with his speech, markets anticipate the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI).
Markets have been very receptive and sensitive to Powell’s comments, and precisely when they address the Fed’s intended policy decisions. Overall, investors do not expect a rate cut at the Fed’s next meeting in June. Eyes are now on September for the first rate cut in 2024.
Bitcoin price will rise or fall with CPI data release
Bitcoin is trading for the third consecutive daily green candle after the last red candle on May 10. The 2.1% increase to $62,634 helps stabilize the uptrend. However, BTC Price The forecast shows that the largest crypto will remain in danger as long as support at the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) and 50-day EMA is not recovered.
BTC Price Prediction Chart | Trading view
The slightly optimistic outlook of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator further increases the chance of a Bitcoin breakout to $70,000 in May. However, its current position at -864, coupled with short green histograms, introduces the potential risk of sell-side pressure.
Traders should exercise caution, especially with various macroeconomic activities this week. A drop below $60,000 is still possible, which could extend the correction to $56,500 and if pressure reaches $50,000.
On the other side of the fence, positive CPI data could encourage investors to support a Bitcoin Price rise to $70,000. The key milestones likely to ignite FOMO will be the climb above the $65,000 and $67,500 resistance areas.
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Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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