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Where will Bitcoin be in 5 years?
This flagship digital asset is poised to continue winning for investors.
It would take more than a few minutes to find an asset that has produced a better return over the past five years than that of Bitcoin (Bitcoin 0.28%). During this period, the world’s most valuable cryptocurrency increased by 1,000%. To make a comparison, the one with high technological content Nasdaq-100 the index rose 128% in that period.
Bitcoin He’s had a fantastic run over the last year and a half in particular. But things are cooling down, as it’s 13% off its flagship price (as of the morning of May 5). Investors likely see this as a potential buying opportunity.
If we look at the next five years, where could Bitcoin be?
A unique asset
I think the key value proposition of Bitcoin is that it is a rare asset. There will only ever be 21 million coins in circulation, with a programmed inflation rate that has not yet been tampered with in Bitcoin’s roughly 15-year history. As the demand for a fixed good increases, the price also increases.
This is in stark contrast to Bitcoin’s main competitor, fiat currencies. Thanks to irresponsible fiscal and monetary policies, especially in the United States, these currencies are constantly losing purchasing power. Bitcoin’s structure seeks a more controlled solution.
Another factor pushing the price of Bitcoin higher is the advent of a more robust financial services infrastructure. The latest development in this regard was the approval of spot ETF products in January. So far, these have been hugely successful in driving capital inflows into Bitcoin. Additionally, the Securities and Exchange Commission’s decision to approve ETFs can be seen as a regulatory stamp of approval.
There are many companies, from Wall Street banks to scrappy startups, all working on different Bitcoin-related products and services. Therefore, it is easy to believe that this asset will find its way into more portfolios over time.
I am quite confident that in five years the price of Bitcoin will be able to double what it is today. If history is any indication, however, this could prove to be a very conservative outlook.
Risks to keep in mind
After learning some of the characteristics of Bitcoin, it’s hard not to become bullish. This is a special resource worth owning. And I believe it has significant long-term upside. However, investors must also be aware of the risks.
The main risk factor is that the US government bans Bitcoin within its borders, essentially making it illegal to own or mine the cryptocurrency. This would essentially leave out a huge pool of capital, resulting in weakened demand for Bitcoin. But as the value of Bitcoin continues to rise and more of the political and wealthy classes begin to own it, the possibility of a total ban diminishes.
Another risk that we cannot ignore is of a more technical nature. Perhaps an approved update to the Bitcoin blockchain creates a software bug that exposes everyone’s private keys, rendering the network useless. Or progress towards quantum computing allows Bitcoin encryption to be broken, once again undermining the security of the network.
But to help alleviate these potential threats, it is best to realize that Bitcoin knots will not approve any updates that it believes may cause harm. And when it comes to quantum computing, there is a high probability that Bitcoin developers will create a way to strengthen the security of the network.
Once you understand these risks, you can set more realistic expectations. While I don’t believe Bitcoin’s performance over the next five years will resemble that of the last five years, it is definitely worth taking a closer look at this cryptocurrency for your portfolio. Just remember to keep a long-term mindset and be prepared for the inevitable ups and downs.
Neil Patel and its clients have no position in any of the securities mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions and recommends Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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How Ether Spot ETF Approval Could Impact Crypto Prices: CNBC Crypto World
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CNBC Crypto World features the latest news and daily trading updates from the digital currency markets and gives viewers a glimpse of what’s to come with high-profile interviews, explainers and unique stories from the ever-changing cryptocurrency industry. On today’s show, Ledn Chief Investment Officer John Glover weighs in on what’s driving cryptocurrency prices right now and how the potential approval of spot ether ETFs could impact markets.
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Miners’ ‘Capitulation’ Signals Bitcoin Price May Have Bottomed Out: CryptoQuant
According to CryptoQuant, blockchain data shows signs that the Bitcoin mining industry is “capitulating,” a likely precursor to Bitcoin hitting a local price bottom before reaching new highs.
CryptoQuant analyzed metrics for miners, who are responsible for securing the Bitcoin network in exchange for newly minted BTC. As outlined in the market intelligence platform’s Wednesday report, multiple signs of capitulation have emerged over the past month, during which Bitcoin’s price has fallen 13% from $68,791 to $59,603.
One such sign includes a significant drop in Bitcoin’s hash rate, the total computing power that backs Bitcoin. After hitting a record high of 623 exashashes per second (EH/s) on April 27, the hash rate has fallen 7.7% to 576 EH/s, its lowest level in four months.
“Historically, extreme hash rate drawdowns have been associated with price bottoms,” CryptoQuant wrote. In particular, the 7.7% drawdown is reminiscent of an equivalent hash rate drawdown in December 2022, when Bitcoin’s price bottomed at $16,000 before rallying over 300% over the next 15 months.
This latest hash rate drop follows Bitcoin’s fourth cyclical “halving” event in April, which cut the number of coins paid out to miners in half. According to CryptoQuant’s Miner Profit/Loss Sustainability Indicator, this has left miners “mostly extremely underpaid” since April 20, forcing many to shut down mining machines that have now become unprofitable.
CrypotoQuant said that miners faced a 63% drop in daily revenue after the halving, when both Bitcoin block rewards and transaction fee revenues were much higher.
During this time, Bitcoin miners were seen moving coins from their on-chain wallets at a faster rate than usual, indicating that they may be selling their BTC reserves“Daily miner outflows reached their highest volume since May 21,” the company wrote.
Among the sales of Bitcoin miners, whales and national governmentsBitcoin’s price drop in June also hurt Bitcoin’s “hash price,” a metric of Bitcoin Miner Profitability per unit of computing power.
“Average mining revenue per hash (hash price) continues to hover near all-time lows,” CryptoQuant wrote. “Hashprice stands at $0.049 per EH/s, just above the all-time low hashprice of $0.045 reached on May 1st.”
By Ryan-Ozawa.
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US Congressman French Hill Doubles Down on Trump’s Pro-Crypto Stance
US lawmaker French Hill has noted that Donald Trump will take a more pro-crypto approach than the current administration. The run-up to the presidential election has seen cryptocurrencies become an issue with lawmakers making huge statements ahead of the polls. Donald Trump has also been reaching out to the industry, making a pro-crypto case.
French Hill Backs Trump’s Pro-Crypto Stance
Republican Congressman French Hill has explained the type of cryptocurrency regulatory framework he believes Donald Trump could adopt in the country. In a recent interview with CNBC, French Hill said that the recently passed FIT21 bill is the type of regulatory framework the Trump administration will adopt in the sector.
#FIT21 passed the House with 71 Democratic votes, it’s exactly the kind of digital asset regulatory framework former President Trump would support if re-elected.
See more on @SquawkCNBC🔽 photo.twitter.com/ceTmU4LApU
— French Hill (@RepFrenchHill) July 3, 2024
THE FIT21 Bill It is intended to protect investors and consumers in the market by establishing clear rules and powers for the various regulators in the sector. According to Hill, Trump will adopt it because it directs the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on the specific regulatory framework needed in the market.
“… for people who are innovating and starting a crypto token, a related business, custody of those assets, how to ensure consumer protection, so I think that framework is the right approach and that’s what I’m going to recommend to the President to pass, which is that we have not passed it between now and the end of this Congress.”
He also called Trump an innovative and pro-growth president in financial matters.
Cryptocurrency is going mainstream
This election cycle saw the cryptocurrency industry taking a place in mainstream issues following broader adoption across demographics. From candidates moving toward enthusiasts to recent pro-Congress legislation, cryptocurrencies have become a rallying point for officials. The U.S. regulatory landscape has been criticized for stifling growth due to frequent SEC LawsuitsThis has led executives to push for pro-cryptocurrency laws and raise money for pro-industry candidates.
Read also: Federal Reserve Predicts “AI Will Be Deflationary” to Stimulate Economy
David is a financial news contributor with 4 years of experience in Blockchain and cryptocurrency. He is interested in learning about emerging technologies and has an eye for breaking news. Keeping up to date with trends, David has written in several niches including regulation, partnerships, cryptocurrency, stocks, NFTs, etc. Away from the financial markets, David enjoys cycling and horseback riding.
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US Court Orders Sam Ikkurty to Pay $84 Million for Cryptocurrency Ponzi Scheme
A federal court has ordered Jafia LLC and its owner, Sam Ikkurty, to pay nearly $84 million to cryptocurrency investors after ruling that the company was operating a Ponzi scheme.
The ruling, issued by Judge Mary Rowland in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois, follows a lawsuit filed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in 2022 after the fund collapsed.
Judge Rowland found that Ikkurty, based in Portland, Oregon, did numerous false claims on his company’s hedge funds.
These included misleading statements about his trading experience and the promise of high and stable profits. Instead, Ikkurty used funds from new investors to pay off previous investors, a hallmark of a Ponzi scheme.
The Ponzi Scheme
The court found that Ikkurty misappropriated investment funds for personal use without the knowledge of the investors. These funds were used for personal use and were reported as Fraudulent Investmentscausing significant financial losses to customers.
This non-transparent operation violated Transparency Commission regulations, which led to the imposition of a hefty fine to compensate defrauded investors and restore some public confidence in the financial system.
Judge Rowland emphasized that fraudulent activity such as this violates the law and undermines the integrity of modern financial markets. The $84 million award seeks to address the financial harm inflicted on investors and reinforce the importance of legal compliance in cryptocurrency trading.
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