Bitcoin
Trump Says He’ll Be the First ‘Crypto President’, But What Will That Mean for Bitcoin?
In a phone interview with Fox Business in 2021, recently ousted US President Donald Trump was asked about his views on bitcoin. The cryptocurrency was on a record run and on track to be the best-performing major asset of the year, with gains 10 times bigger than gold.
“It just looks like a scam,” Trump said. “I don’t like it because it’s another currency competing against the dollar… The currency of this world should be the dollar and I don’t think we should have all the bitcoins in the world out there.”
Less than three years later, Trump now presents himself as the “crypto president”promising to protect the 50 million people in the US who own cryptocurrencies from “Elizabeth Warren and her henchmen,” while ensuring that “all remaining bitcoins [is] MADE IN THE USA!!!”
This sudden shift in stance seems to fit with both his nationalist rhetoric and his relentless opposition to Democratic policies — but the move could also be opportunistic. In May, a widely shared poll revealed that just over a fifth of voters in swing states consider cryptocurrency to be a deciding factor in who they vote for.
That same month, Trump’s campaign announced it would begin accepting donations in cryptocurrencies, including bitcoin, dogecoin and ethereum — raising $3 million so far. Trump and his team have also been meeting with industry figures, and on Tuesday made their biggest move yet by naming a pro-cryptocurrency candidate as his running mate.
JD Vance is the first bitcoin holder, or “bitcoiner,” on the presidential ticket, owning somewhere between $136,000 and $390,000 worth of the cryptocurrency, according to his Senate financial disclosure reports.
He also made several crypto-friendly moves during his 20 months as a senator, including introducing a bill that would protect cryptocurrency companies and exchanges from being cut off by traditional banks.
Cryptocurrency investors and traders already appear convinced by the promise of a Trump presidency. In the wake of last weekend’s failed assassination attempt, the price of bitcoin surged nearly 10 percent as bookmakers made him the overwhelming favorite to retake the White House in November’s election.
But despite Trump’s promises, prominent figures within the crypto industry have warned voters against choosing political alliances based on a candidate’s supposed stance on cryptocurrencies. In a lengthy blog post on Wednesday, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin noted that there is a growing push within the crypto space to become politically active and support politicians and parties based almost entirely on their stance on cryptocurrencies.
“I argue that making decisions this way carries a high risk of going against the values that brought you into the crypto space in the first place,” he wrote. “If you see a ‘pro-crypto politician’ today, it’s worth exploring their underlying values and seeing which side they will prioritize if a conflict arises.”
Buterin also noted that most of the bills put forward by Western governments were “mostly reasonable” and that support had already been signaled by figures who are now among the industry’s biggest detractors, such as Vladimir Putin.
“If a politician is pro-crypto today, but is the kind of person who is either seeking too much power or is willing to curry favor with someone who is, then that’s the direction their crypto advocacy might take 10 years from now,” he continued. “Politicians come to understand that all they need to do to get their support is to support ‘crypto.’ It doesn’t matter if they also support banning encrypted messaging, are power-seeking narcissists, or push for bills that make it even harder for your Chinese or Indian friend to attend the next crypto conference.”
Trump’s foray into the space could reach its climax next week when he attends the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville. His keynote address at one of the world’s largest cryptocurrency conferences is being billed by organizers as a “speech that will be heard around the world.” While Trump hopes it will solidify support among crypto-holding voters and galvanize big-spending industry donors — the Winklevoss twins, who own crypto exchanges, have already donated millions to support his campaign — it could also expose his complete lack of knowledge on the subject.
Last month, Trump said he would halt “Joe Biden’s crusade to destroy cryptocurrencies,” but the Biden administration has overseen one of the most successful periods in bitcoin’s history in terms of price gains and mainstream acceptance.
Earlier this year, the Securities and Exchange Commission approved the first spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds, boosting billions of dollars in institutional investments towards cryptocurrency.
Whether or not it proves to be a contentious issue in key states, it is the first presidential election in U.S. history in which one of the two leading candidates has made it part of their campaign. Buterin may not have mentioned Trump by name in his blog post, but he hinted at a political figure who is known for erratic swings of opinion and failing to deliver on campaign promises.
This could equally refer to Trump’s vice presidential pick, Vance, who has previously described himself as a “flip flop flipper” for his tendency to change his mind. (In 2016, he described himself as a “never-Trump guy,” while calling him a “moral disaster” and possibly “America’s Hitler.”)
To single-issue voters, the Trump-Vance ticket may seem like the only one courting the crypto community. But history suggests that a vote for them isn’t necessarily a vote for bitcoin.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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