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Bitcoin

Top Mathematician Predicts 150X Bitcoin Profits, Sets $1 Million Target for 2034

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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https://news.google.com/./articles/CBMiV2h0dHBzOi8vY29pbnBlZGlhLm9yZy9uZXdzL2JpdGNvaW4tcHJpY2UtcHJlZGljdGlvbi0yMDI0LTIwMjUtYnktbWF0aGVtYXRpY2lhbi1rcnVlZ2Vy L9 hl=en-US&g US&ceid=US%3Aen

Mathematician Giovanni Santostasi has argued that whether it was 10 years ago, 15 years ago, or today, it is always the right time to invest in Bitcoin due to the power law model. Santostasi, a neuroscientist and astrophysicist, is known for proposing the power law model of Bitcoin.

During an interview with Simply Bitcoin, He explained that if you invest today and wait 15 years, you will effectively double the lifespan of Bitcoin. The power law suggests exponential growth over time, where if Bitcoin’s lifespan doubles, its value could increase significantly. This model ties Bitcoin’s price movements to time, suggesting that its price can be more accurately predicted through this relationship. However, the power law model has faced criticism.

Despite these criticisms, Santostasi and supporters such as mathematician Fred Krueger maintain that the power law is a great scientific approach to predicting Bitcoin’s future performance. Krueger, who was also present during the interview, countered Michael Saylor’s arguments by stating that the models are still useful for estimating Bitcoin’s growth. While Saylor predicted a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24% for Bitcoin, Krueger argued that the actual CAGR is closer to 44%, with a downward trend over the next two decades.

Santostasi suggested an aggressive investment strategy for younger Bitcoin investors with a long-term horizon. He believes this strategy could yield 100 to 150 times the initial investment after 15 years. Santostasi explained that the power law model suggests significant long-term gains, potentially 64 to 150 times the initial investment over 15 years.

Using this model, Santostasi estimates that Bitcoin could reach $1 million per coin in about 10 years. He explained that scaling invariance helps us understand the significance of events like the recent approval of several spot Bitcoin ETFs, which allowed thousands of retail and institutional investors to invest in Bitcoin. According to Santostasi, while these events are crucial to Bitcoin’s growth, they won’t drastically alter its price trajectory because network expansion has always been part of the model.

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We are the editorial team of Altcoin Updates, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Altcoin Updates, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.

Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.

In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.

On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.

The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.

“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.

Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.

The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.

“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.

That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.

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Bitcoin

How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.

Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.

(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)

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Bitcoin

India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Amitoj Singh

“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.

Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.

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