Bitcoin
This Shiba Inu (SHIB) Pattern Changes Everything, Bitcoin (BTC) Could Return to $58,000, Cardano (ADA) Trend Stabilizes
Arman Shirinyan
Market entering reversal mode, but there are still some problems ahead
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Shiba Inu is currently displaying a descending triangle pattern on its trading chart, a development that could reset its market behavior in the coming weeks. This pattern is significant as it typically signals a potential continuation or reversal, and for SHIB the risks are particularly high.
The descending triangle has been forming over the past few months, characterized by lower highs and a flat support line. This pattern suggests that each rally faces strong selling pressure, which is progressively pushing the price lower. SHIB is currently hovering around the $0.0000237 mark with immediate support at $0.000021.
SHIB/USDT Chart by TradingView
If this support level fails, SHIB could see a further drop to $0.00002, a critical psychological and technical barrier. The outcome at this juncture could lead to two distinct scenarios: a refutation, where buyers intervene strongly, pushing the price up again, potentially retesting higher resistance levels; or a collapse, where the price could fall below the $0.00002 mark, triggering a decline in the token.
A break below the triangle could significantly undermine confidence, leading to a potential sell-off. On the other hand, a strong refutation and recovery from the support line could reignite interest and potentially start a new bull cycle for SHIB.
Volume trends and market sentiment will play critical roles in determining the outcome. Recent trading volumes have been relatively low, which often indicates a lack of conviction among traders.
Bitcoin Tests
Bitcoin is testing the 26-day exponential moving average (EMA) and there is notable resistance that BTC is struggling to overcome. This resistance could eventually push Bitcoin price lower, potentially targeting the $58,000 support level.
The $58,000 mark is significant as it previously acted as a robust support level for Bitcoin. Observers note that the price is also close to the 100-day EMA at around $60,000, which adds an additional layer of psychological and technical significance. These EMAs are essential in defining medium- and long-term market trends and sentiment, and their current levels suggest a bearish outlook for the cryptocurrency.
Volume analysis shows somewhat neutral to descending volume, which currently does not indicate strong potential for a optimistic reversal. Typically, a bullish reversal is accompanied by a significant increase in volume, indicating strong buying interest that could drive the price higher. The absence of such volume dynamics suggests that the market may not yet be ready to push the price back above the $60,000 mark.
Furthermore, Bitcoin’s failure to break the 26 EMA and 50 EMA reinforced bearish sentiment among traders. These failures are critical as they usually indicate the direction the market may take in the short term.
Cardano neutral position
Cardano is showing signs of a stabilization trend after a period of volatility. Recently, ADA price movement has stabilized, indicating a potential stabilization phase that could set the stage for future moves.
ADA is currently hovering around the mid-April support level, which has been tested several times without a decisive breakthrough. This level of support proved resilient, suggesting that it could serve as a solid foundation for a potential upward recovery.
However, during its last rally to local resistance at $0.51, ADA failed to break out, facing a downturn influenced by a rude cross between the 50-day and 100-day exponential moving averages. Such a crossover is typically interpreted as a sign of accelerating negative trends in the market.
Cardano price action was somewhat subdued following this bearish indicator, with no significant signs of a bullish reversal immediately. The most likely scenario for ADA, given current market conditions and technical setup, is the continuation of the sideways trend. This would imply that the price oscillates between known support and resistance levels without significant directional momentum.
About the author
Arman Shirinyan
Arman Shirinyan is a trader, crypto enthusiast and SMM expert with over four years of experience.
Arman firmly believes that cryptocurrencies and blockchain will be in constant use in the future. Currently, it focuses on news, articles with in-depth analysis of cryptocurrency projects, and technical analysis of cryptocurrency trading pairs.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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