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Tesla’s Bull Run, Bitcoin’s Drop for Longer: Key Takeaways

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Tesla’s Bull Run, Bitcoin’s Drop for Longer: Key Takeaways

Tesla (TSLA) continued his winning streak and closed higher for the 10th consecutive trading day. Meanwhile, bitcoin (BTC-USD) continues to trade below a $60,000 benchmark, taking a bit longer to recover than in previous bearish periods. Should investors hold the stock overnight and trade in the morning? Data around the S&P 500 (^GSPC) reveals that it can generate a higher return than some day trades.

Yahoo Finance Reporter Jared Blikre joins Asking for a Trend to analyze the latest market trends and takeaways for the July 9 session

For more expert insights and the latest market action, click here here to watch this full episode of Asking for a Trend.

This post was written by Nicholas Jacobin

Video Transcript

S and P 500 NASDAQ, uh, building on record highs today.

Rate-cut hopes remained intact after Fed Chairman Pao kicked off his semiannual update to Congress and Yahoo!

Finance says Jared Brookie joins us now with more on the lessons of the trading day.

Jared, that’s right.

Powell may be on top, but I want to talk about Tesla.

And that’s because Tesla is now on this 10-day winning streak.

And let me open up our mega cap heat map and make a little stock chart.

Oh, that’s not it.

But here’s Tesla, along with some of the other mega caps down here. 3.71% is what it returned today.

And here’s the year-to-date chart.

This is something.

And let me put some candlesticks in it.

First, you can see that it’s just moving up into the green for the year.

Uh, and this was just a few days ago, but here’s that 10 day sequence and this comes out of the bottom of that head and it should actually be at the top of that head and shoulders, uh, the bottom that we were seeing there and you look at the longer term chart.

It has finally broken out of that negative trend line and that is very encouraging from a number of short-term perspectives.

So you’re in a good phase.

Where do we go from here?

Jared?

Are there 300 more?

You know, 300 is a high level.

Let me erase that line there and you can see that 300 was a resistance line in the past, more or less there.

There too.

So I think it would be a bit of a stretch for Tesla to get to 300.

But I could squeeze it in there.

We’ve seen someone defy the odds before.

Interestingly, he’s now in the middle of a 53-day, 53-day rally.

It’s from this point to this point here.

Remember, there are only five.

It’s five years, but that’s 85% here, 85% here, 85% here.

It looks like Tesla has already come close to that.

So if that’s the case, he might end up stopping right there before he can recover or reload for his next move, which we’ll be watching for.

The story continues

Alright, now guess what we’re going to talk about.

Let’s talk about day traders and night traders and let me explain that holding overnight is more important than holding during the day.

This is a chart I like to update from time to time.

And basically he takes over the market.

It is destroyed in two.

Is it 9:30 to 4:00? It’s in purple here.

Or is it 4pm to 9pm?

30 AMI?

Imagine that every day at the closing bell you buy and then sell in the morning.

This would make you more money.

That would make him the most money since last year’s October lows.

Why?

Jared explains this.

I’ll tell you something, if you think about it, the market is only open 6.5 hours a day.

It remains closed the rest of the time, 17.5 hours.

This means it is closed about 72% of the time.

There are all sorts of things happening all over the world.

What I’ve found over time, this goes back over 30 years, is that you want to be in the driver’s seat of the night market.

I have never seen a bull market where the overnight market did not gain more than the day market.

It’s just because of the time difference.

Let’s say you are an investor.

Are you watching this, Jared? Is this true in any way?

I mean, is this a source of concern for you?

Concern.

You know, it’s not a sale.

It was never a source.

It would be a source of concern to me if I didn’t see this.

Let me put it this way.

Because when we were in the 2022 bear market, this picture looked very different.

Well, the night market was selling a lot more than the day market, and that’s the kind of balance we see.

It’s a simple percentage amount of time.

The market at night.

You have more time.

All good.

Third, Jared’s point B.

Alright, we need to talk about cryptocurrencies here at Bitcoin. Bitcoin is on its way to finally hitting 60,000.

Let me just map out what’s happening with Bitcoin right now.

I like to say that Bitcoin loves to deceive traders, and we have seen this happen many times.

Give me two seconds.

Here is our cryptocurrency heatmap.

And, uh, these are cryptocurrency stocks.

We want to get the actual token.

Here’s Bitcoin, um, on a year-to-date chart and let me put the candlesticks here, we’re seeing that it’s in this consolidation range right now.

It broke a few months ago.

At the end of April, beginning of May, it broke.

Then he recovered quickly.

It’s happening now, but you’re noticing it’s taking a little longer.

The amount of time this is taking is concerning.

That’s why I say it needs to be above 60,000.

Otherwise, I’ll probably use this as a resistance level.

And then it just gets worse from there.

So it looks like it breaks above and stays like that and goes up to test that 75,000.

So that’s it, Bitcoin.

What about the other big tokens?

What are they potentially telling me?

Clear.

So we just saw Bitcoin kind of breaking out of its multi-month range, and Ethereum doing something similar.

If we take this line here a little below 3000.

We can see that we didn’t drop as much as Bitcoin did in breaking through these previous levels here, but we are testing them.

So I think the chart we’re looking at here is actually more constructive: Ethereum.

And we can also check out Solana.

I also like the Solana chart.

You can see that this is actually the lower bound, here is the breakeven point.

Brand.

Mark, uh, that also respects your lower limit.

So overall I give cryptocurrencies a fair chance to say the bull market is still here but keeping Bitcoin at 60k is make or break for me.

Alright, Jared.

Thank you friend.

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We are the editorial team of Altcoin Updates, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Altcoin Updates, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.

Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.

In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.

On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.

The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.

“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.

Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.

The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.

“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.

That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.

Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.

(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)

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Bitcoin

India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Amitoj Singh

“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.

Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.

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