Bitcoin
Should You Buy Bitcoin While It’s Below $60,000?
The leading cryptocurrency is poised to break out, with some powerful catalysts working in its favor.
Despite rising 275% since the beginning of 2023 and 47% since the beginning of this year (as of July 3), Bitcoin (BTC 1.36%) has been largely trading sideways since early March. It looks like the digital asset is struggling to break out and start marching towards a new all-time high.
And as of the afternoon of July 5, Bitcoin was trading around $56,500, or about 23% below its peak price. Here’s why investors should add the largest cryptocurrency in the world for your portfolio as long as it is less than $60,000.
Focus on the short term
As an asset that is only 15 years old, the digital currency is still reaching certain milestones on its path to development. In January this year, the Securities and Exchange Commission finally approved the trading of spot bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs), a monumental moment in the history of cryptocurrencies.
From the date of approval to today, its price has jumped 24%. Money is still flowing into these ETFs. With the increased accessibility and convenience that the funds provide, I think it’s reasonable to assume that larger pools of capital — from pension funds and sovereign wealth funds, for example — will move some money into Bitcoin over time.
In April, Bitcoin has undergone a halvingwhich cuts the new supply available to miners in half. This event happens roughly every four years and typically results in a major bull run for the cryptocurrency over the following 12 to 18 months. With demand increasing for an asset whose inflation rate has just dropped, it makes sense that the price would rise.
And there is another potential near-term catalyst on the horizon. While inflation remains well above the Federal ReserveWith the 2% target, there is hope that interest rates will start to fall sooner rather than later. When this happens, investors are incentivized to take on more risk in order to generate a higher return on their assets, which could lead to more capital finding its way into Bitcoin.
Focus on the long term
Zooming in and focusing on the bigger picture, there are other reasons to be optimistic about its potential. For starters, there are countless companies, particularly Blockwho are working on developing tools and services to help with Bitcoin adoption. This could mean creating a user-friendly platform physical wallets for blockchain assets or launch new payment mechanisms that use cryptocurrencies.
I also think it’s important to consider how changing demographics could affect Bitcoin for the better. Gen Z — defined as those between the ages of 12 and 27 — is more likely to own cryptocurrencies than stocks, according to a survey conducted by online insurance broker Policygenius last October. In a world that’s becoming increasingly digital, it makes sense that people would want to own something like the leading cryptocurrency as a store of value when they can feel like it serves them better than the traditional financial system.
There will only ever be 21 million bitcoins in circulation. Because of this fixed limit, the digital currency is scarcer than gold. And it is portable, divisible, and functional in transactions. It may be easy to believe that is a superior asset to gold.
The value of all the gold in the world is estimated at $15.9 trillion. As a conservative assumption, let’s say Bitcoin’s market cap reaches half that level, or around $8 trillion. At that point, each Bitcoin would be worth roughly $380,000. That implies a staggering gain of nearly six times its current market value. If it takes a decade to get there, investors are looking at a theoretical 21% annualized gain in the digital asset’s price.
With Bitcoin trading well below the $60,000 level, I believe investors would be wise to consider buying with the intention of holding the cryptocurrency for the long term.
Neil Patel and its clients have no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin and Block. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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