Bitcoin
Optimistic hashrate traders expect Bitcoin price to rise in the next six months
The hash rate signals bullish sentiment as analysts predict a higher hash price over the next 6 months, driven by Bitcoin’s $70,000 rally despite challenges.
Hash rate futures traders appear optimistic about Bitcoin‘s short-term outlook, with indications pointing to bullish sentiment as future hash price quotes persist above the spot price.
📢 HASHPRICE AND HASHRATE MARKET UPDATE!
Hashrate Forwards have been trading in contango since the Halving, with future hashprice quotes above the spot price.
Optimistic hashrate traders expect the hash rate to rise in the next 6 months. They anticipate that difficulty may decline/stagnate, the transaction… pic.twitter.com/4ZLgN6Jxyp
— Hash Rate Index 🟧⛏️ (@hashrateindex) May 21, 2024
Hashrate Index analysts wrote in anticipation of a rise in the price of hash over the next six months, saying in a post that traders expect difficulty to stagnate while transaction fees increase “and/or the price of Bitcoin rises.”
“Bitcoin has risen to approximately $70,000, which is giving hashprice a nice makeover. Of course, this is all relative considering it’s costing $55/PH/day, which was an all-time low from the last halving season.”
Hash Rate Index
Analysts find positivity in the compressed Minas Gerais economy, which is slowing hashrate growth. Despite Bitcoin’s recent surge, hashrate growth has been slow, with analysts predicting only a small increase in the next difficulty adjustment.
“Bitcoin hashrate has bottomed out and returned to 600 EH/s 7-day average. Future growth depends on the price of Bitcoin. With the compressed hash price and the North American summer ahead, the hashrate could be between 600-700 EH/s during the second and third quarters.”
Hash Rate Index
Looking ahead, Hashrate Index analysts suggest that US miners may mine less BTC in the summer, which could slow hash rate growth. Although miners elsewhere could offset this by offering insights into the broader global picture of hashrate expansion, analysts noted.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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