Bitcoin
Mt. Gox Bitcoin Payments Fears Wipe $170 Billion Off Crypto Market
The cryptocurrency market suffered a substantial drop on Friday, compounding the selling pressure witnessed over the past two weeks. Leading cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC) retreated more than 20% from its highs in June and May, falling to $53,500.
The market decline was largely attributed to the long-awaited administrator overseeing the bankruptcy of Mt. Gox, which heralded the launch of Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash. refunds to creditors affected by the infamous hack that resulted in billions in losses.
As a result, the entire cryptocurrency market lost over $170 billion in combined market capitalization in just 24 hours.
Bitcoin Refunds and German Government Settlement
The trustee in charge of the Mt. Gox bankruptcy estate, Nobuaki Kobayashi, stated that Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash payments began through designated cryptocurrency exchanges.
Although the amount transferred to these scholarships was not specified, data from market intelligence platform Arkham revealed that 47,229 BTC, valued at $2.71 billion, was transferred to an unknown address.
Kobayashi stressed that the remaining funds would be returned to creditors once “specific conditions” were met, including verification of registered accounts and completion of discussions with the designated exchanges.
The decline in crypto prices has led to substantial liquidations in derivatives markets, with over 229,755 traders experiencing combined liquidations worth $639.58 million in the past 24 hours. Of this amount, $540.46 million represented long trades, indicating positions taken by investors expecting long-term asset appreciation.
Additionally, the German government contributed to the market pressure by selling approximately 3,000 BTC, equivalent to about $175 million, from a seized stock of 50,000 BTC associated with the Movie2k movie piracy operation. Despite the liquidation, the government still holds over 40,000 BTC, valued at over $2 billion.
What Historical Price Cycles Suggest
Despite the bloodbath witnessed in cryptocurrency prices over the past month, analysts and industry experts remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s future performance.
Despite short-term selling pressure resulting from Mt. Gox refunds, experts anticipate a recovery by the end of the year. Cryptocurrency data and research firm CCData suggested that the current Bitcoin appreciation cycle has not yet peaked and will likely reach a new all-time high.
Historical market cycles indicate that a Bitcoin halving event, which reduces the supply of new BTC, typically precedes a period of price expansion lasting between 12 and 18 months. The most recent halving occurred in April, suggesting potential for further growth through 2025.
Tom Lee, co-founder and head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, told CNBC that he predicts Bitcoin will hit $150,000 despite Mt. Gox’s glut.
The launch of an Ethereum commercial fund exchange (ETF) in the US and the approval of the first spot Bitcoin ETF in the US earlier this year contribute to the overall positive sentiment in the market, indicating potential growth and further mainstream adoption of cryptocurrencies.
The daily chart shows the downtrend of BTC price. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $55,680, reflecting a significant 21% drop in price over the past month. The bulls in the market are closely monitoring the $54,480 price level, representing substantial support for BTC. This level holds critical importance as it can prevent further price declines and the risk of breaking below the crucial $50,000 level.
Featured image of DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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