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Looking for the next big crypto thing
Exponential growth or compound interest, investment, wealth or income increasing in graph, business… [+] sales or profit increase concept, financial ratio graph with exponential arrow from flying rocket.
getty
It’s a long time ago that I wrote a piece here saying dogecoin was going to be big. For so long I had to search for the doge price on July 23, 2018.
It was about 0.3 cents, now it is 15 cents and at most, thanks to Elon Musk, it exceeded 65 cents. This is what cryptocurrency is all about: huge profits from nothing more than a crazy idea. (For your information, I sold my million Doge for a whole bitcoin, so I did OK but not OooohKay.)
The problem with Bitcoin is that it simply won’t rise 45x like Doge these days, at least not in real terms. The only way that could happen is if the dollar collapses to a fraction of its current value. This is not impossible, but the 100x dream of cryptocurrency denizens in terms of capital increase is no longer a possibility outside of the delusions of pumpers. Bitcoin
Bitcoin
he will never go there.
So, to be a true cryptocurrency “degen” playing to get rich quick, you have to watch the new meme coins that appear on a regular basis, and frankly that is pure gambling. What it takes to get a big win out of something “real” is to find something new, something fresh, something exciting that will actually become something and develop into a community or ecosystem.
For me, when I look at what’s going on, there’s a distinct lack of “new.” This is really no surprise as the cryptocurrency world is busy copying old ideas and is constrained by US regulation intent on playing “Whack-a-Mole” with any projects that resemble unicorns. You don’t have to be on the FTX spectrum to get slammed by the regulator, you can be Coinbase or Uniswap
Uniswap
and now also previously canceled Ethereum
Ethereum
it’s under a cloud. No cryptocurrency group seems safe from being put out of business, so it’s no surprise that innovation has been significantly stifled.
So points of protest about “project A” or “project B” whose supporters will say they are innovative, fantastic and counterexamples. However, I believe that these types of projects are few, especially if you look at the past. Furthermore, when new projects go public, they are often “valued” at hundreds of millions of dollars in terms of valuations and supply of their tokens and in reality the projects themselves are little more than flat business plans with a handful of developers.
So what do we do?
Keep looking for opportunities is the simple answer, they will come.
For me the most exciting development is the return to the land of bitcoin and instead of being part of the Ethereum explosion, it is the technology being tied to the main BTC blockchain.
Last year was the arrival of ordinals and now we have the next generation of the idea and technology, runes. Surprisingly I was given a runestone (without asking or even knowing I had one) because I had been minting ordinals like crazy. As an art collector I had been attracted to NFTs but I was late, I missed those punks and cheap monkeys, but still I ended up with some NFTs and if you have the collector gene you know how a certain type of rubbish has a irresistible charm. For me NFTs are about the digital generation and its unity with everything digital. It may have been a baseball card or a postage stamp for my generation, but for younger generations a bitmap is just as powerful, maybe more so. Yet, like Dogecoin, the 45x of NFTs is over, similarly a Crypto Punk will never have a minimum price of £5 million unless hyperinflation makes it so.
What is needed is the new, “new, new” thing and for me these are the runes.
Runes are similar to NFTs on bitcoin and as I write there is still potential for power law growth in a rune. Which rune? This has yet to be revealed, but the game is on. The point is that it’s a champagne or nothing situation because the runes either snag or they don’t. Likewise, ordinals are still in play and could go nova or die on the vine.
They are worth watching because after a little concentration you will find yourself among a small group of people with a certain sensitivity to the ecosystem and to understand whether it will take off or not.
While bitcoin or any other established name will never become as exponential as it has in the past, new categories of cryptocurrencies will come along that will start small and then explode massively. As such, that is where we need to look and it is simply a discipline to continue scouring the cryptocurrency investing shore to find the next opportunity before too many others catch a glimpse. Right now, the last potential monster egg is runes, and they’re hatching right now. There will be others.
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How Ether Spot ETF Approval Could Impact Crypto Prices: CNBC Crypto World
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CNBC Crypto World features the latest news and daily trading updates from the digital currency markets and gives viewers a glimpse of what’s to come with high-profile interviews, explainers and unique stories from the ever-changing cryptocurrency industry. On today’s show, Ledn Chief Investment Officer John Glover weighs in on what’s driving cryptocurrency prices right now and how the potential approval of spot ether ETFs could impact markets.
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Miners’ ‘Capitulation’ Signals Bitcoin Price May Have Bottomed Out: CryptoQuant
According to CryptoQuant, blockchain data shows signs that the Bitcoin mining industry is “capitulating,” a likely precursor to Bitcoin hitting a local price bottom before reaching new highs.
CryptoQuant analyzed metrics for miners, who are responsible for securing the Bitcoin network in exchange for newly minted BTC. As outlined in the market intelligence platform’s Wednesday report, multiple signs of capitulation have emerged over the past month, during which Bitcoin’s price has fallen 13% from $68,791 to $59,603.
One such sign includes a significant drop in Bitcoin’s hash rate, the total computing power that backs Bitcoin. After hitting a record high of 623 exashashes per second (EH/s) on April 27, the hash rate has fallen 7.7% to 576 EH/s, its lowest level in four months.
“Historically, extreme hash rate drawdowns have been associated with price bottoms,” CryptoQuant wrote. In particular, the 7.7% drawdown is reminiscent of an equivalent hash rate drawdown in December 2022, when Bitcoin’s price bottomed at $16,000 before rallying over 300% over the next 15 months.
This latest hash rate drop follows Bitcoin’s fourth cyclical “halving” event in April, which cut the number of coins paid out to miners in half. According to CryptoQuant’s Miner Profit/Loss Sustainability Indicator, this has left miners “mostly extremely underpaid” since April 20, forcing many to shut down mining machines that have now become unprofitable.
CrypotoQuant said that miners faced a 63% drop in daily revenue after the halving, when both Bitcoin block rewards and transaction fee revenues were much higher.
During this time, Bitcoin miners were seen moving coins from their on-chain wallets at a faster rate than usual, indicating that they may be selling their BTC reserves“Daily miner outflows reached their highest volume since May 21,” the company wrote.
Among the sales of Bitcoin miners, whales and national governmentsBitcoin’s price drop in June also hurt Bitcoin’s “hash price,” a metric of Bitcoin Miner Profitability per unit of computing power.
“Average mining revenue per hash (hash price) continues to hover near all-time lows,” CryptoQuant wrote. “Hashprice stands at $0.049 per EH/s, just above the all-time low hashprice of $0.045 reached on May 1st.”
By Ryan-Ozawa.
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US Congressman French Hill Doubles Down on Trump’s Pro-Crypto Stance
US lawmaker French Hill has noted that Donald Trump will take a more pro-crypto approach than the current administration. The run-up to the presidential election has seen cryptocurrencies become an issue with lawmakers making huge statements ahead of the polls. Donald Trump has also been reaching out to the industry, making a pro-crypto case.
French Hill Backs Trump’s Pro-Crypto Stance
Republican Congressman French Hill has explained the type of cryptocurrency regulatory framework he believes Donald Trump could adopt in the country. In a recent interview with CNBC, French Hill said that the recently passed FIT21 bill is the type of regulatory framework the Trump administration will adopt in the sector.
#FIT21 passed the House with 71 Democratic votes, it’s exactly the kind of digital asset regulatory framework former President Trump would support if re-elected.
See more on @SquawkCNBC🔽 photo.twitter.com/ceTmU4LApU
— French Hill (@RepFrenchHill) July 3, 2024
THE FIT21 Bill It is intended to protect investors and consumers in the market by establishing clear rules and powers for the various regulators in the sector. According to Hill, Trump will adopt it because it directs the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on the specific regulatory framework needed in the market.
“… for people who are innovating and starting a crypto token, a related business, custody of those assets, how to ensure consumer protection, so I think that framework is the right approach and that’s what I’m going to recommend to the President to pass, which is that we have not passed it between now and the end of this Congress.”
He also called Trump an innovative and pro-growth president in financial matters.
Cryptocurrency is going mainstream
This election cycle saw the cryptocurrency industry taking a place in mainstream issues following broader adoption across demographics. From candidates moving toward enthusiasts to recent pro-Congress legislation, cryptocurrencies have become a rallying point for officials. The U.S. regulatory landscape has been criticized for stifling growth due to frequent SEC LawsuitsThis has led executives to push for pro-cryptocurrency laws and raise money for pro-industry candidates.
Read also: Federal Reserve Predicts “AI Will Be Deflationary” to Stimulate Economy
David is a financial news contributor with 4 years of experience in Blockchain and cryptocurrency. He is interested in learning about emerging technologies and has an eye for breaking news. Keeping up to date with trends, David has written in several niches including regulation, partnerships, cryptocurrency, stocks, NFTs, etc. Away from the financial markets, David enjoys cycling and horseback riding.
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US Court Orders Sam Ikkurty to Pay $84 Million for Cryptocurrency Ponzi Scheme
A federal court has ordered Jafia LLC and its owner, Sam Ikkurty, to pay nearly $84 million to cryptocurrency investors after ruling that the company was operating a Ponzi scheme.
The ruling, issued by Judge Mary Rowland in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois, follows a lawsuit filed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in 2022 after the fund collapsed.
Judge Rowland found that Ikkurty, based in Portland, Oregon, did numerous false claims on his company’s hedge funds.
These included misleading statements about his trading experience and the promise of high and stable profits. Instead, Ikkurty used funds from new investors to pay off previous investors, a hallmark of a Ponzi scheme.
The Ponzi Scheme
The court found that Ikkurty misappropriated investment funds for personal use without the knowledge of the investors. These funds were used for personal use and were reported as Fraudulent Investmentscausing significant financial losses to customers.
This non-transparent operation violated Transparency Commission regulations, which led to the imposition of a hefty fine to compensate defrauded investors and restore some public confidence in the financial system.
Judge Rowland emphasized that fraudulent activity such as this violates the law and undermines the integrity of modern financial markets. The $84 million award seeks to address the financial harm inflicted on investors and reinforce the importance of legal compliance in cryptocurrency trading.
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