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Bitcoin

Is Ethereum an obvious buy after the Bitcoin halving?

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Is Ethereum an obvious buy after the Bitcoin halving?

If history is any guide, Ethereum could be on track to post stellar gains during Bitcoin’s current halving cycle.

O Bitcoin (BTC 0.69%) halving that occurred on April 19 was one of the most anticipated events of the year for cryptocurrency investors. Three previous halving events in 2012, 2016, and 2020 led to spectacular gains for Bitcoin, and the expectation was that this year’s halving would kick off yet another bull market cycle.

What many investors may not realize, however, is that other cryptocurrencies can also show spectacular gains when Bitcoin Halving the cycle begins. One cryptocurrency on my radar right now is Ethereum (ETH 0.08%), which could be on track for rapid price appreciation over the next 12 months. Let’s take a closer look at why.

Bitcoin’s Impact on the Ethereum Ecosystem

Keep in mind that Ethereum is both a cryptocurrency and a blockchain ecosystem. This is important because any new bullish sentiment around Bitcoin tends to benefit the components of these blockchain ecosystems, simply due to the increased interest investors have in all things crypto. This can include everything from non-fungible tokens (NFTs) for decentralized finance (DeFi) exchanges, all built on the Ethereum blockchain.

Image source: Getty Images.

In many ways, then, the Bitcoin halving is a rising tide that lifts all blockchain boats. This is exactly what happened during the previous Bitcoin halving cycle that began in May 2020. The growing excitement around the Bitcoin halving led investors to look for other cryptocurrencies that could benefit, and this naturally led them to Ethereum, which has the largest and most diverse blockchain ecosystem of all cryptocurrencies.

As a result of all the new money flooding into the Ethereum ecosystem from crypto investors, the value of Ethereum began to skyrocket. In a 12-month period from the date of the Bitcoin halving in May 2020, Ethereum skyrocketed by over 1,732%.

Ether/US Dollar Chart by TradingView

Of course, there’s no guarantee that this same phenomenon will happen again for Ethereum in 2024. After all, past performance is no guarantee of future performance. But there are simply so many use cases for Ethereum that I’m increasingly confident that investors will find new sources of value within its expansive blockchain ecosystem.

Launch of new Ethereum spot ETFs

The second reason why Ethereum could surge in the post-halving cycle has to do with the imminent launch of the new Ethereum ETFs in Spotlight. The Securities and Exchange Commission officially gave the green light to these new Ethereum ETFs in late May. Coincidentally, this happened to coincide with the Bitcoin halving date in mid-April. So, it is now only a matter of time before investor money starts flowing into these ETFs, helping to push the price of Ethereum higher.

It is true that there is not as much demand from investors for Ethereum spot ETFs as for Spot Bitcoin ETFs. But as much as $3 billion could flow into these ETFs by the end of 2024. At the very least, this new influx of money would help absorb any renewed selling pressure in the crypto market.

How high can Ethereum go?

The combination of these two factors could see Ethereum soar higher in the next 12 months. A growing number of analysts and investors now think that Ethereum could reclaim its all-time high of $4,891 sometime by the end of 2025. And from there, Ethereum could climb as high as $22,000 by the year 2030, according to investment firm VanEck.

Obviously, a lot needs to go right for Ethereum to skyrocket in value. So keep an eye on the changing sentiment around the Bitcoin halving and how it influences investor perceptions of the value that can be unlocked within blockchain ecosystems. If history is any guide, Ethereum could end up being the obvious buy this Bitcoin halving cycle, just as it was in 2020.

Domingos Basulto has positions in Bitcoin and Ethereum. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin and Ethereum. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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We are the editorial team of Altcoin Updates, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Altcoin Updates, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.

Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.

In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.

On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.

The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.

“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.

Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.

The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.

“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.

That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.

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Bitcoin

How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.

Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.

(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)

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Bitcoin

India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Amitoj Singh

“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.

Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.

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