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Investor demand returns to bitcoin despite stagnant price, data shows

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Investor demand returns to bitcoin despite stagnant price, data shows

Crypto investors have been feeling a sense of déjà vu as bitcoin’s sluggish price has barely moved for months. However, data shows that demand for the cryptocurrency has been slowly returning, and it could soon be reflected in prices. Bitcoin has been struggling at $70,000 for much of this year, its struggles exacerbated when miners began selling their bitcoin in larger quantities last month, seeking to cover operating expenses after weeks of depressed transaction fees and the reduction of miners’ block rewards in the halving. Some larger mining companies have begun using their bitcoin reserves to earn yield or hedge their exposure. Now, the “miner capitulation,” as the forced sell-off is often called, has reached levels comparable to December 2022, which marked a 7.6% drop in the bitcoin network’s hash rate — or the total computing power used by miners to process transactions — and the cycle bottom following the collapse of FTX, according to CryptoQuant. “Miner capitulation has historically marked price bottoms, signaling that prices are too low for less efficient miners to be profitable,” Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, told CNBC. “After halvings, a reduction in the network hash rate of around 7%-12% has marked the bottom and preceded price rallies. We are currently at a 7.7% reduction.” Bitcoin’s price rise, however, will depend on growing demand for bitcoin, which typically increases before showing up in prices, he added. Demand has slowed this year after a 66% surge in the first quarter, but CryptoQuant’s data shows that trend has reversed. “Whale demand is currently growing at 6% month-over-month,” Moreno said. “This is typically a high growth rate, so we are already in a high demand growth environment. … Last February-March, prices rallied more strongly when demand growth exceeded 6% month-over-month growth.” In the past, he added, “demand has peaked at 10%-12% monthly growth, so there is still room to grow.” Bitcoin has fallen 8% in the past three months, but is still up 44% on the year. Many investors remain confident that Bitcoin has more bullish catalysts in store — including spot ether ETFs, U.S. rate cuts and clearer rules for the industry following the U.S. presidential election. Furthermore, Bitcoin cycle peaks tend to occur up to 18 months before the halving. BTC.CM = 3M Bitcoin Mountain (BTC), 3 months “What past cycles have taught us is not to expect anything immediately after the Bitcoin halving,” said Nexo co-founder Antoni Trenchev. “Bitcoin barely moved for 4-5 months after the 2016 and 2020 halvings, and we had to wait a good six weeks for any price excitement in 2012.” “Considering the 2024 halving only happened in April, it wouldn’t be a shock to experience more sideways slumber,” he added. “The door to $100,000 bitcoin remains open in 2024 as the consolidation period since March sets the stage for the next leg up.”

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We are the editorial team of Altcoin Updates, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Altcoin Updates, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

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Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.

Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.

In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.

On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.

The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.

“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.

Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.

The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.

“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.

That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.

Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.

(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)

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India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report

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Amitoj Singh

“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.

Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.

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