Bitcoin
How Trump Went From Bitcoin Skeptic to ‘Crypto President’
- Donald Trump has not always been a supporter of cryptocurrencies, but he has recently expressed strong support for the sector.
- The industry’s political spending has made cryptocurrencies an electoral issue for both parties, a source told BI.
- The former president’s pro-crypto stance is making bitcoin a “Trump trade,” Bernstein said.
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At a campaign fundraiser in June, former President Donald Trump presented himself as something that would have seemed unlikely not long ago.
“He said he was going to be the president of cryptocurrency,” said tech executive Trevor Traina, who attended the fundraiser. Reuters that month.
It’s not a title the Republican candidate would have taken on with such enthusiasm during his first term.
On a series of tweets In 2019, then-President Trump made it clear that he didn’t like cryptocurrencies.
“I’m not a fan of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, which are not money and whose value is highly volatile and based on nothing.”
I am not a fan of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, which are not money, and whose value is highly volatile and based on thin air. Unregulated crypto assets can facilitate illegal behavior, including drug trafficking and other illegal activities…
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) July 12, 2019
He held that view until at least 2021, telling Fox Business that bitcoin “It looks like a scam.“In making these comments, Trump often reiterated that the industry needs strict regulation.
However, as the 2024 election approaches, Trump’s position has changed almost completely.
After telling CNBC earlier this year that he was not I’m not sure about taking cryptocurrency anymoreIn May, he declared that the US should be the country of industry Global leader in space.
“Corrupt Joe Biden, on the other hand, the worst president in the history of our country, wants him to die a slow and painful death,” he wrote in a post on Social Truth.
The comparison to his Democratic rival may be emblematic of one reason why cryptocurrencies have become such a hot election issue — and an increasing focus for both parties.
“By all accounts, this is expected to be a very close election,” Alan Konevsky, tZERO’s chief legal officer, told Business Insider, “where there’s fierce competition for campaign money, and where cryptocurrencies and the crypto lobby have proven to be a major force from that perspective as well.”
The numbers prove the point. According to a May report Public Citizen reportThe cryptocurrency sector is becoming a political funding titan that is hard to ignore. During the 2024 election cycle, crypto-backed super PACs raised over $102 million, the third-highest amount among all super PACs.
Trump’s promises to support U.S. cryptocurrency miners or loosen regulations are giving him access to new industry funding. For example, one cryptocurrency executive told CNBC that the space is now committed to donating $100 million to his campaign.
“As an industry, we are committed to raising over $100 million and turning out over 5,000,000 voters for Trump’s re-election effort,” said BTC Inc. CEO David Bailey.
On the other hand, the rise of cryptocurrencies in the electoral race also stems from the importance the topic has acquired for the American public, something that may have been underestimated before, Konevsky noted.
For example, about half of young voters surveyed by Grayscale said they will consider a candidate’s stance on cryptocurrencies before voting.
The increasingly bipartisan nature of crypto is also influencing President Biden’s platform. He has also opened up to crypto donations, and his administration has adjusted regulators’ approach to the industry.
The growing political acceptance of cryptocurrency means that may not matter who wins in the long run, said billionaire crypto bull Michael Novogratz. Pro-industry efforts are also being pushed by Congress, as the bill on Innovation and Financial Technology.
But in the short term, the market seems more confident in Trump to help the sector.
In late June, Bernstein noted that if Republicans seem more likely to win the November election, Trump’s promises of better regulation will help bitcoin rally in the fourth quarter.
“If electoral sentiment shifts to a more Republican one, cryptocurrencies would end up being Trump’s main ‘deal’ and hopes for a favorable regulatory regime would change the ‘use case’ narrative around blockchains like ETH,” analysts wrote.
It’s also important to note how regulatory and judicial appointees might change under a different administration, Konevsky noted. In addition to the questions of who leads market watchdogs like the Securities and Exchange Commission, cryptocurrency lawsuits placed judges at the forefront as decision makers in market-related matters.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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