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How cryptocurrency is poised to influence elections
Ryan Selkis, a cryptocurrency executive, was dining at Mar-a-Lago last month when he received an unexpected invitation: Former President Donald Trump wanted him to come on stage and say a few words.
Selkis, who runs crypto data firm Messari, was among a couple of hundred attendees at an event celebrating Trump’s series of non-fungible tokens, the digital collectibles known as NFTs. When he reached the lectern, Selkis turned to the former president.
“There are 50 million cryptocurrency holders in the United States,” the executive said. “That’s a lot of voters.”
This message has become a political talking point in the cryptocurrency world, as the industry tries to shake off a wave of scandals and establish itself as a powerful force in the 2024 election cycle. Three major crypto firms have teamed up to fund a group of affiliated super political action committees, investing around $150 million to elect pro-crypto candidates in congressional races.
The PACs do not intend to participate in the presidential election, a spokesperson for the groups said. But top cryptocurrency executives have tried to rally the industry behind Trump, who has reciprocated by praising digital currencies and hosting executives at Mar-a-Lago.
Many cryptocurrency advocates see the 2024 election as a pivotal moment. After the collapse of a number of crypto firms two years ago, the Biden administration launched an aggressive crackdown, filing lawsuits and criminal charges against some of the industry’s leading figures. The Securities and Exchange Commission is pursuing cases that could effectively force the cryptocurrency industry out of the United States.
“The 2024 election will be the most important in the history of cryptocurrencies,” said Brad Garlinghouse, CEO of Ripple, a cryptocurrency company that has been feuding with the federal government for years. “You’re seeing technology become a partisan political issue.”
Garlinghouse, Selkis and other executives have argued that newly energized “crypto voters” could influence the outcome of the election. They often cite a survey, commissioned by cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase, that suggests 52 million Americans own digital currencies. (The Federal Reserve estimates that the total represents 7% of the adult population, or about 18 million people.)
But voters’ supposed passion for cryptocurrencies may be less important than the industry’s campaign war chest. Ripple, Coinbase and venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz have each donated about $50 million to crypto PACs, which plan to spend those funds on several competitive Senate races. In March, the largest PAC, Fairshake, spent about $10 million on attack ads against Rep. Katie Porter, a Democratic candidate in the California Senate primary who was allied with Sen. Elizabeth Warren, a longtime crypto critic . Porter lost her race.
“A single, relatively small industry is literally trying to buy off enough politicians to hijack the public agenda,” said Dennis Kelleher, president of Better Markets, a financial reform advocacy group. “It’s truly breathtaking.”
Read more about the 2024 presidential election
The industry’s vast resources have turned a number of niche issues into a talking point in the presidential campaign. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., an independent presidential candidate, made his first official campaign appearance at a bitcoin event in Miami, and has attended numerous industry conferences, sometimes holding fundraising meetings with wealthy executives on the sidelines .
President Joe Biden has long been considered anti-cryptocurrency because his Securities and Exchange Commission chairman, Gary Gensler, has sued so many crypto companies. But some Biden supporters, including investor Mark Cuban, have insisted his campaign is mending fences.
The campaign was receptive to the message, Cuban said in an email. In recent weeks, Biden officials have reached out to Coinbase and Ripple, asking to discuss cryptocurrency policy, four people familiar with those discussions said. However, much of the industry appears to be coalescing around Trump. Although the former president once said that bitcoin “looks like a scam” and has often been critical of the tech sector, he has made several supportive comments about cryptocurrencies in the past month, vowing to end the regulatory crackdown. On Tuesday, Trump met at Mar-a-Lago with executives from some of the world’s largest bitcoin mining companies, including Marathon Digital and Riot Platforms.
Bitcoin should be “MADE IN USA!!!” he posted on his social network.
The last time the cryptocurrency industry spent large sums on a political race, its largest donor was Sam Bankman-Fried, founder of FTX, who spent tens of millions of dollars supporting both Democrats and Republicans in the 2022 midterm elections. Two years later, Bankman-Fried’s company is bankrupt and he is serving a 25-year prison sentence for fraud.
The collapse of FTX was a huge setback to the cryptocurrency industry’s efforts in Washington. Last year, the SEC sued Coinbase and other cryptocurrency companies, claiming that the digital assets they allowed customers to buy and sell were unregistered securities. In May, the industry scored a rare legislative victory when Congress voted to overturn an SEC accounting guideline that crypto firms had challenged. Biden vetoed the resolution.
Now the industry is reacting. Fairshake has announced plans to enter four more Senate races this year, including close races in Ohio and Montana, where Democrats who have criticized cryptocurrencies are running for re-election. Privately, cryptocurrency executives credited Fairshake with mollifying some skeptical lawmakers, including Sen. Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, according to two people familiar with the conversations. Brown, who chairs the Senate Banking Committee, said in April that he was open to introducing an industry-backed bill.
A few weeks after the California Senate primary in March, Rep. Adam Schiff, the Democrat who defeated Porter, visited Coinbase’s offices in Mountain View, California. He met with representatives of Coinbase, Andreessen Horowitz and cryptocurrency-focused investment firms Electric Capital, Paradigm Capital and Haun Ventures, two people familiar with the meeting said.
Trump hasn’t always been a supporter of cryptocurrencies. He said he preferred dollars to bitcoin and in 2019 tweeted that digital currencies were “based on nothing.” But lately, some crypto executives, looking for a political savior, have embraced it.
Vivek Ramaswamy, a cryptocurrency enthusiast and former presidential candidate, has claimed credit for Trump’s crypto direction and has carved out a role as his emissary in the industry: On Wednesday afternoon, Ramaswamy met privately with Brian Armstrong, CEO of Coinbase, at the Capitol Hill Club in Washington and encouraged him to support Trump’s campaign, a person familiar with the meeting said.
Armstrong has not publicly endorsed a presidential candidate. “We will not give special treatment to any particular party,” he said in a statement. “Cryptocurrencies are a truly bipartisan issue.”
Selkis, who identifies as a libertarian, attended the Mar-a-Lago event in May after receiving a card from a colleague who couldn’t make it. “I’m eating my salad and I get cold-called on stage by the president,” Selkis recalled in an interview.
That night, Trump declared, “If you are for cryptocurrencies, you better vote for Trump.” He also announced that his campaign will accept digital currency donations and pledged to commute the life sentence of Ross Ulbricht, a cryptocurrency cult hero who ran the Silk Road online drug market.
On Tuesday evening, Trump met with about 15 bitcoin mining executives for more than an hour at Mar-a-Lago, according to one of the attendees, Salman Khan, the chief financial officer of Marathon Digital.
At one point, Khan said, executives showed Trump the inside of a machine used for mining bitcoin, an energy-intensive process that has raised environmental concerns. “He liked the made-in-America thing,” Khan said.
Not everyone in the cryptocurrency world agrees with Trump. At a conference in May, Marvin Ammori, a Democrat who works for the cryptocurrency firm Uniswap, discussed the industry’s political strategy on stage with Selkis, warning that Trump may not deliver on his campaign promises.
However, this month, Trump attended a fundraiser at the home of David Sacks, a prominent venture capitalist in San Francisco, and reiterated his support for cryptocurrencies, according to three people in attendance. Guests included Selkis, crypto executives Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss and Paul Grewal, Coinbase’s chief legal officer, the sources said.
“The cryptocurrency vote has already been won by President Trump,” Selkis said. “It’s over.”
This story was originally published on nytimes.com. Read it here.
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How Ether Spot ETF Approval Could Impact Crypto Prices: CNBC Crypto World
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CNBC Crypto World features the latest news and daily trading updates from the digital currency markets and gives viewers a glimpse of what’s to come with high-profile interviews, explainers and unique stories from the ever-changing cryptocurrency industry. On today’s show, Ledn Chief Investment Officer John Glover weighs in on what’s driving cryptocurrency prices right now and how the potential approval of spot ether ETFs could impact markets.
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Miners’ ‘Capitulation’ Signals Bitcoin Price May Have Bottomed Out: CryptoQuant
According to CryptoQuant, blockchain data shows signs that the Bitcoin mining industry is “capitulating,” a likely precursor to Bitcoin hitting a local price bottom before reaching new highs.
CryptoQuant analyzed metrics for miners, who are responsible for securing the Bitcoin network in exchange for newly minted BTC. As outlined in the market intelligence platform’s Wednesday report, multiple signs of capitulation have emerged over the past month, during which Bitcoin’s price has fallen 13% from $68,791 to $59,603.
One such sign includes a significant drop in Bitcoin’s hash rate, the total computing power that backs Bitcoin. After hitting a record high of 623 exashashes per second (EH/s) on April 27, the hash rate has fallen 7.7% to 576 EH/s, its lowest level in four months.
“Historically, extreme hash rate drawdowns have been associated with price bottoms,” CryptoQuant wrote. In particular, the 7.7% drawdown is reminiscent of an equivalent hash rate drawdown in December 2022, when Bitcoin’s price bottomed at $16,000 before rallying over 300% over the next 15 months.
This latest hash rate drop follows Bitcoin’s fourth cyclical “halving” event in April, which cut the number of coins paid out to miners in half. According to CryptoQuant’s Miner Profit/Loss Sustainability Indicator, this has left miners “mostly extremely underpaid” since April 20, forcing many to shut down mining machines that have now become unprofitable.
CrypotoQuant said that miners faced a 63% drop in daily revenue after the halving, when both Bitcoin block rewards and transaction fee revenues were much higher.
During this time, Bitcoin miners were seen moving coins from their on-chain wallets at a faster rate than usual, indicating that they may be selling their BTC reserves“Daily miner outflows reached their highest volume since May 21,” the company wrote.
Among the sales of Bitcoin miners, whales and national governmentsBitcoin’s price drop in June also hurt Bitcoin’s “hash price,” a metric of Bitcoin Miner Profitability per unit of computing power.
“Average mining revenue per hash (hash price) continues to hover near all-time lows,” CryptoQuant wrote. “Hashprice stands at $0.049 per EH/s, just above the all-time low hashprice of $0.045 reached on May 1st.”
By Ryan-Ozawa.
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US Congressman French Hill Doubles Down on Trump’s Pro-Crypto Stance
US lawmaker French Hill has noted that Donald Trump will take a more pro-crypto approach than the current administration. The run-up to the presidential election has seen cryptocurrencies become an issue with lawmakers making huge statements ahead of the polls. Donald Trump has also been reaching out to the industry, making a pro-crypto case.
French Hill Backs Trump’s Pro-Crypto Stance
Republican Congressman French Hill has explained the type of cryptocurrency regulatory framework he believes Donald Trump could adopt in the country. In a recent interview with CNBC, French Hill said that the recently passed FIT21 bill is the type of regulatory framework the Trump administration will adopt in the sector.
#FIT21 passed the House with 71 Democratic votes, it’s exactly the kind of digital asset regulatory framework former President Trump would support if re-elected.
See more on @SquawkCNBC🔽 photo.twitter.com/ceTmU4LApU
— French Hill (@RepFrenchHill) July 3, 2024
THE FIT21 Bill It is intended to protect investors and consumers in the market by establishing clear rules and powers for the various regulators in the sector. According to Hill, Trump will adopt it because it directs the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on the specific regulatory framework needed in the market.
“… for people who are innovating and starting a crypto token, a related business, custody of those assets, how to ensure consumer protection, so I think that framework is the right approach and that’s what I’m going to recommend to the President to pass, which is that we have not passed it between now and the end of this Congress.”
He also called Trump an innovative and pro-growth president in financial matters.
Cryptocurrency is going mainstream
This election cycle saw the cryptocurrency industry taking a place in mainstream issues following broader adoption across demographics. From candidates moving toward enthusiasts to recent pro-Congress legislation, cryptocurrencies have become a rallying point for officials. The U.S. regulatory landscape has been criticized for stifling growth due to frequent SEC LawsuitsThis has led executives to push for pro-cryptocurrency laws and raise money for pro-industry candidates.
Read also: Federal Reserve Predicts “AI Will Be Deflationary” to Stimulate Economy
David is a financial news contributor with 4 years of experience in Blockchain and cryptocurrency. He is interested in learning about emerging technologies and has an eye for breaking news. Keeping up to date with trends, David has written in several niches including regulation, partnerships, cryptocurrency, stocks, NFTs, etc. Away from the financial markets, David enjoys cycling and horseback riding.
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US Court Orders Sam Ikkurty to Pay $84 Million for Cryptocurrency Ponzi Scheme
A federal court has ordered Jafia LLC and its owner, Sam Ikkurty, to pay nearly $84 million to cryptocurrency investors after ruling that the company was operating a Ponzi scheme.
The ruling, issued by Judge Mary Rowland in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois, follows a lawsuit filed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in 2022 after the fund collapsed.
Judge Rowland found that Ikkurty, based in Portland, Oregon, did numerous false claims on his company’s hedge funds.
These included misleading statements about his trading experience and the promise of high and stable profits. Instead, Ikkurty used funds from new investors to pay off previous investors, a hallmark of a Ponzi scheme.
The Ponzi Scheme
The court found that Ikkurty misappropriated investment funds for personal use without the knowledge of the investors. These funds were used for personal use and were reported as Fraudulent Investmentscausing significant financial losses to customers.
This non-transparent operation violated Transparency Commission regulations, which led to the imposition of a hefty fine to compensate defrauded investors and restore some public confidence in the financial system.
Judge Rowland emphasized that fraudulent activity such as this violates the law and undermines the integrity of modern financial markets. The $84 million award seeks to address the financial harm inflicted on investors and reinforce the importance of legal compliance in cryptocurrency trading.
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