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History suggests that the cryptocurrency market is about to skyrocket due to this little-known fact
Things in the world of cryptocurrencies are looking up. After a brutal crypto winter, many cryptocurrencies are at or near all-time highs and the future finally looks bright again.
Yet it will likely get much brighter for one key reason: Central banks around the world are starting to cut interest rates.
The two might seem unrelated, but the links between central bank actions and cryptocurrency market behaviors run deep. For investors, this represents an interesting opportunity. A new wave of liquidity could soon be injected into the market, potentially setting the stage for a major cryptocurrency boom.
Image source: Getty Images.
Central banks start cutting interest rates
In recent days, the European Central Bank (ECB) and the central banks of Canada, Switzerland and Sweden have cut their key interest rates. These changes followed some of the most aggressive rate hikes in decades, implemented by banks in an attempt to contain soaring inflation.
While the American Federal Reserve has not yet started cutting rates, there is growing optimism among market watchers that it will do so by the end of this year. Given that the United States is still the largest economy in the world, this potential policy shift is seen by many as the final domino that must fall to usher in a more favorable environment for risky assets like cryptocurrencies.
Why interest rates matter for cryptocurrencies
At first glance it might seem that interest rates and cryptocurrencies exist in completely separate realms. Cryptocurrencies operate on decentralized networks with their own monetary policies. However, they are inextricably linked to the broader economy.
Cryptocurrencies are a so-called risky asset class, meaning they tend to perform well when investors are generally more willing to accept greater risks in the pursuit of profit. This typically happens during periods of high liquidity, when money is cheap and plentiful. For such a scenario to happen again, interest rates will have to be cut.
To understand why central bank interest rate cuts will benefit cryptocurrencies, it may be helpful to understand the impact of rising interest rates. When central banks raise interest rates, borrowing becomes more expensive, which tends to reduce the amount of money circulating in the economy. High interest rates also make low-risk interest-bearing assets more attractive, further reducing the amount of money spent on riskier assets.
Conversely, when interest rates fall, financing costs decrease and liquidity increases. Lower interest rates also reduce the attractiveness of savings accounts and bonds. With excess capital floating around, this liquidity typically finds its way into various asset classes, including stocks, real estate, and yes, cryptocurrencies.
The story continues
Historical evidence
We don’t have to look too far back to see evidence of how powerful the impact of lower interest rates can be on the cryptocurrency market. In 2020, central banks around the world cut interest rates to near zero in response to the economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic. This resulted in an unprecedented injection of liquidity into the global financial system.
The result? The cryptocurrency market has grown from around $190 billion to over $2 trillion. Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, saw its price rise from around $7,000 in early 2020 to nearly $69,000 by November 2021.
One of the most impressive examples to emerge from the 2021 bull market was Solana (CRYPTO: G). Riding the wave of increased liquidity (and a fair amount of speculation), in less than two years, it jumped by more than 25,000%.
Stay disciplined amid the boom
While this round of rate cuts won’t be as dramatic as those in 2020, they should still have a significant advantage over cryptocurrencies. And as is common in cryptocurrency bull markets, this means that some obscure cryptocurrencies will start to post astronomical gains.
However, while it is easier said than done, it is crucial for investors to maintain a balanced perspective and not get overwhelmed by the hype of speculation: most of these cryptocurrencies are simply not good long-term investments.
To successfully navigate this upcoming phase, investors will need to remain disciplined and focus on blue chip cryptocurrencies with proven track records and strong utility. Bitcoin and Ethereum (CRYPTO:ETH), for example, meet these criteria.
Although this strategy may not be as glamorous as investing in trendy things meme coinsit is one of the few proven strategies that offers investors the kind of returns that only cryptocurrencies can produce.
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History suggests that the cryptocurrency market is about to skyrocket due to this little-known fact was originally published by The Motley Fool
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How Ether Spot ETF Approval Could Impact Crypto Prices: CNBC Crypto World
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CNBC Crypto World features the latest news and daily trading updates from the digital currency markets and gives viewers a glimpse of what’s to come with high-profile interviews, explainers and unique stories from the ever-changing cryptocurrency industry. On today’s show, Ledn Chief Investment Officer John Glover weighs in on what’s driving cryptocurrency prices right now and how the potential approval of spot ether ETFs could impact markets.
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Miners’ ‘Capitulation’ Signals Bitcoin Price May Have Bottomed Out: CryptoQuant
According to CryptoQuant, blockchain data shows signs that the Bitcoin mining industry is “capitulating,” a likely precursor to Bitcoin hitting a local price bottom before reaching new highs.
CryptoQuant analyzed metrics for miners, who are responsible for securing the Bitcoin network in exchange for newly minted BTC. As outlined in the market intelligence platform’s Wednesday report, multiple signs of capitulation have emerged over the past month, during which Bitcoin’s price has fallen 13% from $68,791 to $59,603.
One such sign includes a significant drop in Bitcoin’s hash rate, the total computing power that backs Bitcoin. After hitting a record high of 623 exashashes per second (EH/s) on April 27, the hash rate has fallen 7.7% to 576 EH/s, its lowest level in four months.
“Historically, extreme hash rate drawdowns have been associated with price bottoms,” CryptoQuant wrote. In particular, the 7.7% drawdown is reminiscent of an equivalent hash rate drawdown in December 2022, when Bitcoin’s price bottomed at $16,000 before rallying over 300% over the next 15 months.
This latest hash rate drop follows Bitcoin’s fourth cyclical “halving” event in April, which cut the number of coins paid out to miners in half. According to CryptoQuant’s Miner Profit/Loss Sustainability Indicator, this has left miners “mostly extremely underpaid” since April 20, forcing many to shut down mining machines that have now become unprofitable.
CrypotoQuant said that miners faced a 63% drop in daily revenue after the halving, when both Bitcoin block rewards and transaction fee revenues were much higher.
During this time, Bitcoin miners were seen moving coins from their on-chain wallets at a faster rate than usual, indicating that they may be selling their BTC reserves“Daily miner outflows reached their highest volume since May 21,” the company wrote.
Among the sales of Bitcoin miners, whales and national governmentsBitcoin’s price drop in June also hurt Bitcoin’s “hash price,” a metric of Bitcoin Miner Profitability per unit of computing power.
“Average mining revenue per hash (hash price) continues to hover near all-time lows,” CryptoQuant wrote. “Hashprice stands at $0.049 per EH/s, just above the all-time low hashprice of $0.045 reached on May 1st.”
By Ryan-Ozawa.
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US Congressman French Hill Doubles Down on Trump’s Pro-Crypto Stance
US lawmaker French Hill has noted that Donald Trump will take a more pro-crypto approach than the current administration. The run-up to the presidential election has seen cryptocurrencies become an issue with lawmakers making huge statements ahead of the polls. Donald Trump has also been reaching out to the industry, making a pro-crypto case.
French Hill Backs Trump’s Pro-Crypto Stance
Republican Congressman French Hill has explained the type of cryptocurrency regulatory framework he believes Donald Trump could adopt in the country. In a recent interview with CNBC, French Hill said that the recently passed FIT21 bill is the type of regulatory framework the Trump administration will adopt in the sector.
#FIT21 passed the House with 71 Democratic votes, it’s exactly the kind of digital asset regulatory framework former President Trump would support if re-elected.
See more on @SquawkCNBC🔽 photo.twitter.com/ceTmU4LApU
— French Hill (@RepFrenchHill) July 3, 2024
THE FIT21 Bill It is intended to protect investors and consumers in the market by establishing clear rules and powers for the various regulators in the sector. According to Hill, Trump will adopt it because it directs the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on the specific regulatory framework needed in the market.
“… for people who are innovating and starting a crypto token, a related business, custody of those assets, how to ensure consumer protection, so I think that framework is the right approach and that’s what I’m going to recommend to the President to pass, which is that we have not passed it between now and the end of this Congress.”
He also called Trump an innovative and pro-growth president in financial matters.
Cryptocurrency is going mainstream
This election cycle saw the cryptocurrency industry taking a place in mainstream issues following broader adoption across demographics. From candidates moving toward enthusiasts to recent pro-Congress legislation, cryptocurrencies have become a rallying point for officials. The U.S. regulatory landscape has been criticized for stifling growth due to frequent SEC LawsuitsThis has led executives to push for pro-cryptocurrency laws and raise money for pro-industry candidates.
Read also: Federal Reserve Predicts “AI Will Be Deflationary” to Stimulate Economy
David is a financial news contributor with 4 years of experience in Blockchain and cryptocurrency. He is interested in learning about emerging technologies and has an eye for breaking news. Keeping up to date with trends, David has written in several niches including regulation, partnerships, cryptocurrency, stocks, NFTs, etc. Away from the financial markets, David enjoys cycling and horseback riding.
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US Court Orders Sam Ikkurty to Pay $84 Million for Cryptocurrency Ponzi Scheme
A federal court has ordered Jafia LLC and its owner, Sam Ikkurty, to pay nearly $84 million to cryptocurrency investors after ruling that the company was operating a Ponzi scheme.
The ruling, issued by Judge Mary Rowland in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois, follows a lawsuit filed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in 2022 after the fund collapsed.
Judge Rowland found that Ikkurty, based in Portland, Oregon, did numerous false claims on his company’s hedge funds.
These included misleading statements about his trading experience and the promise of high and stable profits. Instead, Ikkurty used funds from new investors to pay off previous investors, a hallmark of a Ponzi scheme.
The Ponzi Scheme
The court found that Ikkurty misappropriated investment funds for personal use without the knowledge of the investors. These funds were used for personal use and were reported as Fraudulent Investmentscausing significant financial losses to customers.
This non-transparent operation violated Transparency Commission regulations, which led to the imposition of a hefty fine to compensate defrauded investors and restore some public confidence in the financial system.
Judge Rowland emphasized that fraudulent activity such as this violates the law and undermines the integrity of modern financial markets. The $84 million award seeks to address the financial harm inflicted on investors and reinforce the importance of legal compliance in cryptocurrency trading.
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