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Has the Crypto Bull Run Begun or Is It Just a Bull Trap? Here’s What to Expect Next

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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What's next for Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana?

BitcoinOin has surged above $63,000 after a prolonged drop to $54,000, and other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and Solana are also showing signs of a potential bull run. This resurgence has led to speculation whether the market is poised for another significant rally.

The total cryptocurrency market cap has surged by over 4% in the past 24 hours, reaching approximately $2.41 trillion. This surge follows weeks of bearish momentum, with Bitcoin finally gaining momentum. BTC reached a daily high of around $63,000 before settling at $62,700. Ethereum (ETH) also saw an increase of more than 4%, hovering around US$3,347.

Factors fueling the rise of cryptocurrencies

Several bullish factors are driving this surge. First, the German government has run out of Bitcoin to sell after offloading 50,000 BTC seized from pirated movie site ‘Movie2k’. Additionally, Donald Trump’s chances of winning the presidential election seem stronger than ever, especially after an alleged assassination attempt. Trump’s scheduled address to the crypto community at the Bitcoin 2024 Conference in Nashville further boosts confidence.

Recent US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data and figures indicate cooling inflation, which could lead to interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2024. The imminent release of Ethereum ETFs in Spotlight is expected to create a supply crunch for ETH. Cryptocurrency investment products saw massive inflows of $1.44 billion last week, suggesting a positive shift in sentiment. Institutional investors remain bullish, with Standard Chartered maintaining a $150,000 price target for Bitcoin by the end of 2024.

The SEC appears to be losing its regulatory grip on the cryptocurrency sector, with several high-profile investigations dropped this year.

Growing investment and network activity

Cryptocurrency venture funding continues to grow, with $3.6 billion deployed in Q2 2024 across 521 projects. Activity on the Solana network is also increasing despite recent market pullbacks.

Low concerns

Despite the positive sentiment in the market, there are some concerns. The ongoing multi-billion dollar payout from Mt. Gox is likely to continue for another two months, adding more Bitcoin to the market. Additionally, Genesis has started liquidating assets for a $3 billion payout plan, which could also impact the market.

Some industry insiders, such as Arthur Hayes, believe that Trump’s support for the crypto industry is disingenuous and will wane once he is elected. Despite the hopeful outlook for interest rate cuts, the Federal Reserve remains aggressive, and cuts are not guaranteed this year.

Bitcoin and major altcoins are still well below their all-time highs and require significant momentum to break above these levels. The altcoin sector continues to struggle with large token unlocks, with hundreds of millions of tokens set to unlock in July.

Read too: It’s Spot ETH ETF Time: Here’s What to Expect from Ethereum’s Price Rally

With both factors pulling the price triggers, it will be interesting to see which direction BTC moves next. Will this be the start of another crypto boom? Only time will tell.

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We are the editorial team of Altcoin Updates, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Altcoin Updates, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.

Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.

In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.

On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.

The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.

“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.

Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.

The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.

“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.

That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.

Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.

(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)

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India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Amitoj Singh

“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.

Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.

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