Bitcoin
Gold will rise 100%, but what about digital gold?
Ronald-Peter Stoeferle, Managing Partner of Incrementum AG, recently joined David Lin for a discussion. During the conversation, Stoeferle addressed the changing sentiments towards gold as a safe haven asset in light of recent market dynamics.
He was asked about the perception of gold transitioning from a safe-haven hedge to a higher-risk asset and its correlation with various sectors. Lin also noted its alignment with equities, technology stocks and, notably, Bitcoinindicating a growing investor sentiment towards alternatives investments.
Analyst forecasts and price expectations
Reflecting on current market perceptions of gold, Stoeferle shared his perspective on its value. Despite gold’s inflation-adjusted affordability compared to all-time highs, he noted a prevalent skepticism among investors. Many, he noted, are inclined to consider selling rather than buying at current levels, reflecting the subdued bullish sentiment in Western markets.
Long-term perspectives and projections
Looking ahead, Stoeferle referenced consensus forecasts from big-name Wall Street analysts, who predict modest future prices for gold. He pointed to median estimates of $2,000 for 2026 and $1,700 for 2028.
Despite prevailing sentiments, Stoeferle remained optimistic about gold’s long-term prospects. He discussed projections from Incrementum AG, predicting prices potentially exceeding $4,000 to $4,800 by 2030.
Bitcoin vs. Gold: A Comparative Analysis
Stoeferle also opened up about the initial resistance faced by the Bitcoin and gold communities. He noted the emotional nature surrounding these assets, describing Bitcoin as a teenager with its rapid evolution compared to gold’s millennia-long history.
Addressing recent market dynamics, Stoeferle acknowledged disappointment among some investors following Bitcoin’s recent performance, but emphasized the post-halving period as historically favorable. He anticipated Bitcoin potentially outperforming gold in the coming years, especially as institutional adoption continues to grow, marked by milestones such as ETF Launches.
Read too: Cryptocurrency Investment Strategy: Top 5 Altcoins to Bet on Amid Market Crash
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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