Bitcoin
German government agency sends $425 million in BTC to exchanges
Bitcoin (BTC) recently fell to a one-month low of $64,000, causing concern among bullish investors who now fear the impending selling pressure and a potential retest of lower support levels.
Adding to these concerns, a wallet belonging to German police was discovered to have moved $425 million worth of BTC to cryptocurrency exchanges, according to on-chain data firms. This development has sparked speculation about the agency’s intentions and potential impact on the market.
Concerns about selling pressure
On Wednesday, crypto data analysis firm Arkham detected a significant cryptocurrency wallet called “German Government (BKS)”, transferring 6,500 BTC, equivalent to US$425 million.
The wallet, which held over 50,000 BTC as of the end of January 2024, transferred the funds to a new address. Some of the transferred BTC was sent to popular exchanges Kraken and Bitstamp.
BTC wallet movements by a German government agency on Wednesday morning. Source: Arkham
The recent BTC move by the German government agency follows a significant seizure of 50,000 BTC in January. At the time, it was considered the largest seizure of cryptocurrencies ever carried out in Germany.
Most of the BTCs were seized by German police, with the suspects voluntarily transferring them to official cards provided by the German Federal Criminal Police (BKA). Currently, the government wallet contains 43,350 BTC with a total value of over $2.8 billion.
Crypto Analyst Daan Crypto Trades suggested that the transfer of BTC from the German government wallet to exchanges may have contributed to the emergence of short positions and a slight drop in the price of Bitcoin during Wednesday’s trading session. This movement raises concerns about potential selling pressure in the market and its impact on Bitcoin’s price trajectory.
Bitcoin Faces Downtrend Signal
About price action analysis of the largest cryptocurrency on the market, BTC is at a crucial juncture as analysts offer contrasting perspectives.
Technical analyst Ali Martinez suggests a possible continuation of the downtrend as Bitcoin’s recent breach of the +0.5σ market cap to realized value (MVRV) price range at $67,890 indicates the potential for a correction towards the median price at $54,930.
BTC’s MVRV Momentum indicator suggests a potential decline to $54,000. Source: Ali Martinez at X
Martinez points out that when the MVRV is below the 1-year simple moving average (SMA), it often signals a downtrend. This analysis suggests that BTC may experience further downward price pressure due to the strong distribution near the top.
Unlike Martinez bearish outlookAnother analyst who goes by the pseudonym “Titan of Crypto” remains bullish on the Bitcoin bull market.
The analyst points to the Parabolic SAR indicator and the LMACD (Logarithmic MACD) on the 2-month chart, indicating that the bull market is still intact. According to For the analyst, these indicators suggest that BTC’s bullish momentum remains intact.
However, the future direction of Bitcoin’s price remains uncertain, with investors cautiously navigating evolving market conditions.
The daily chart shows BTC’s 24-hour sideways price action below $65,000. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $64,850, down more than 7% in just the last seven days, demonstrating the bearish sentiment surrounding the Bitcoin market.
Featured image of DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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