Bitcoin
Cryptocurrency Analyst Says Bitcoin Not Ready for $65K Retest, But Could It Reach $71,500?
Cryptocurrency Analyst Rekt Capital provided insights into Bitcoin’s future trajectory. Based on his analysis, the flagship cryptocurrency may not yet be ready for its next leg, which could see it rise again above $70,000.
Bitcoin Not Ready to Establish $65,000 as New Support Yet
Capital Rekt claimed in an X (old Twitter) publish that Bitcoin is not yet ready for a successful retest of the $65,000 level as new support. For the cryptocurrency to establish $65,000 as the new support level, the analyst stated that a retest similar to what happened in May earlier this year would be needed. According to Capital RektThis will confirm a return to the $65,000 to $71,500 region.
Source: X
Bitcoin breaking $65,000 is crucial as this will also confirm that the bearish trend is over, as the leading cryptocurrency is still at risk of falling back to the $60,000 range, albeit still below $65,000. Meanwhile, as Rekt Capital observedBitcoin above the $65,000 support would mean it is ready to revisit its previous top above $70,000.
Source: X
Bitcoin rising above $70,000 and reaching $71,500 will inspire confidence among investors that the bull run is well on its way again. Cryptography expert Michael van de Poppe had already highlighted the $70,000 range as the level Bitcoin must break to surpass its current level All-Time High (ATH) of US$ 73,750.
Cryptocurrency analyst Altcoin Sherpa also recently featured three scenarios that could play out for Bitcoin from its current price level. He stated that the flagship cryptocurrency could either drop to $63,000 and “return the pump,” drop to $60,000 and return the pump, or dump to $60,000 while enjoying some relief bounces and then “die” after dropping to $60,000. However, the analyst is more hopeful that Bitcoin will simply break through this level without any pullback and rally to $70,000.
What to expect from BTC heading into the later parts of the cycle
Cryptocurrency Analyst Dann Crypto shared his expectations for Bitcoin heading into the latter parts of this bull run. He stated that Bitcoin will enjoy a run up to the US presidential election due to the easy narrative of a potential President and Vice President of Crypto. He expects this rally to also happen thanks to a potential top-line cut and just “general excitement” after Bitcoin has ranged for about four months.
Daan Crypto also alluded to the Ethereum ETFs in Spotlightdescribing them as a “wildcard” as they could “accelerate the rally,” but it all depends on how much demand these ETFs enjoy. Once this Bitcoin rally is complete, Daan Crypto expects the market to experience another local top, with this likely happening during the new year.
The crypto analyst predicts that the final rally in this bull run will occur in the second half of 2025 as part of the 4-year cycle. Daan Crypto noted that this 4-year cycle has always worked and there is no reason why it won’t work this time. He warned market participants not to get fixated on a specific target as the market top for Bitcoin and instead advised them to be fluid.
BTC price at $64,800 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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