Bitcoin
Crypto Market Watch: Bitcoin Holds Above $69,000 Despite Market Selloff
Bitcoin experienced significant volatility over the weekend, trading below $71,000 following a surprisingly strong May employment report. Despite the drop, the top cryptocurrency remains above $69,000, reflecting cautiously optimistic market sentiment. Experts are closely monitoring Bitcoin’s resistance at $70,600 and support at $67,100.
Unexpected strength in the US labor market created 272,000 jobs in May, exceeding forecasts and boosting investor confidence in potential interest rate cuts by September. Edul Patel, CEO of Mudrex, noted: “This strong job growth has fueled optimism among investors and traders about potential rate cuts in September.”
Broad Market Clearance
Last Friday, the price of Bitcoin fell below $70,000, erasing most of its weekly gains. This drop was part of a broader crypto market sell-off triggered by the robust jobs report. According to CoinSwitch Markets Desk, “The report revealed that 272,000 jobs were created in May, significantly exceeding the forecast of 185,000. This strong jobs report, coupled with higher-than-expected wage growth, led to a sell-off in stock futures and a rise in Treasury yields.”
The crypto market also saw a significant drop in meme coins, with meme coin GME plummeting 50% from its highs. Roaring Kitty’s YouTube live stream, which did not provide significant news, contributed to these losses.
Derivatives and ETF Inflows
In the derivatives market, Bitcoin futures positions reached a record high of $37.7 billion. This increase in open interest coincides with a series of net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, which now spans 18 days. Analysts at 10x Research suggest that Bitcoin could potentially rise to $83,000 if it breaks above $72,000, completing an inverted head and shoulders pattern.
The CoinDCX research team also highlighted high volatility this week due to major US macro data announcements. Despite the promising data, a sudden drop on Friday created mixed signals. “Key support levels to consider are around $68,400, $67,000 and $66,000,” they noted. On the upside, resistance levels are at $71,500, $72,350 and $73,500.
Shivam Thakral, CEO of BuyUcoin, added: “The crypto market had a moderately volatile weekend, with Bitcoin falling below the $70,000 mark after challenging the $72,000 level on Friday. Jobs data in the US stronger than expected dashed hopes of a Fed rate cut, dampening investor sentiment.”
Broader market trends
Ethereum showed slow movement, remaining mostly sideways and underperforming Bitcoin. Currently resting at a key support level, ETH is expected to rebound if market sentiment remains bullish. The CoinDCX research team mentioned: “The recovery from the daily EMA 20 support further suggests a bullish outlook for Ethereum.”
Rajagopal Menon, vice president at WazirX, reported a 0.75% increase in Bitcoin, reaching $69,724 on June 10. He stated: “Technically, Bitcoin has tested resistance at $70,000, marking the neckline of an inverse head and shoulders (IH&S) pattern. If this bullish reversal pattern holds, Bitcoin could reach $90,000 in July .”
XRP Struggles
XRP fell below the crucial $0.5 mark, indicating continued bearish sentiment. Technical indicators show XRP trading below the 50-day, 100-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling persistent downward pressure. Rising trading volumes highlight significant selling and lack of buying interest.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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