Bitcoin
Bitcoin’s “Extreme Greed” Is Almost Here: Is the Bottom Near?
Data shows Bitcoin sentiment is close to entering the extreme greed zone. Here’s what that could mean for the cryptocurrency’s price.
Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index Continues to Drop Recently
O “Fear and Greed Index” is an indicator developed by Alternative which tells us about the average sentiment that traders of Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market in general currently share.
The index uses five factors to determine sentiment: volatility, trading volume, social media, market cap dominance, and Google Trends. The metric uses a numerical scale from zero to one hundred to represent sentiment.
All values of the indicator above the 53 mark suggest the presence of greed among investors, while those below 47 imply the dominance of fear. The region between these two limits correlates with a neutral sentiment.
Now, here is what the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index currently looks like:
The metric value appears to be quite low | Source: Alternative
As you can see above, Bitcoin Fear & Greed currently has a value of 28, which means that the average investor is showing fear. The level of fear should also be quite noticeable, as this current value is pretty deep in the territory.
In fact, the indicator’s latest level is right next to a special region called “extreme fear.” Investors show extreme fear when the index falls below 25. There is also a similar zone on the greed side, which is known as “extreme greed” and occurs above 75.
During the first half of last month, the metric was in or near the latter region, but the recent slowdown in the market has drastically degraded sentiment to the other end of the spectrum.
It appears that the metric’s value has plummeted in recent days | Source: Alternative
Historically, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies tend to show movements that are opposite to what the majority expects. The stronger the crowd’s expectations become, the more likely such a counter-movement becomes.
Extreme sentiments are where traders are leaning heavily in one direction. As such, major tops and bottoms in the asset have often formed when the index was in these zones.
For this reason, some traders prefer to buy when investors are showing extreme fear and sell when investors are showing extreme greed. This trading philosophy is popularly called “counter investment.” Warren Buffet’s famous quote sums up the idea: “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”
As the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index approaches extreme fear territory, it is possible that the cryptocurrency could once again show profitable entry points soon, if the past is anything to go by.
BTC Price
So far, Bitcoin has failed to recover much from the recent dip as its price is still trading around $56,700.
The coin’s price appears to have been moving sideways recently | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured image of Dall-E, Alternative.me, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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