Bitcoin
Bitcoin’s Bullish Indicator That Led to a Reversal Has Returned. Is $70,000 Possible?
Jamie CouttsReal Vision’s top cryptocurrency analyst has highlighted an indicator that paints a bullish picture for Bitcoin (BTC). Based on this indicator, the crypto analyst suggested that a reversal may already be on the horizon for the flagship cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin Hash Rate Decline Is Slowing Down
Coutts mentioned in an X (old Twitter) publish what Bitcoin Hash Rate the decline is slowing, which he noted usually precedes a bottom and bearish reversal from the bearish trendline, which happened after the halving event. He did, however, warn that a bullish reversal still depends on a “stabilization in the downward trend”.
Source: X
The crypto analyst further noted that the percentage difference between the 30-day and 90-day moving averages aligns with previous hash rate contractions and is not as severe as the post-2020 halving. A slowdown in Bitcoin’s hash rate decline is significant because it suggests that capitulation of the miners may end soon.
Cryptocurrency Expert Willy Woo mentioned before that the market will recover when “weak miners die, and the hash rate recovers.” He further explained that inefficient miners will have to go bankrupt while other miners are forced to buy more efficient hardware.
Cryptoquant CEO Ki Young Ju provided insights into when this miners’ capitulation might end. He stated which usually ends when the average daily value mined is 40% of the annual average. The crypto founder further revealed that it is currently at 72%, suggesting that it may still be a while before miners finally cool off on unloading their reserves.
Ki Young Ju told market participants to expect cryptocurrency markets to be flat for the next two to three months. He encouraged them to remain bullish in the long term but avoid excessive risk-taking. Cryptocurrency analysts like Mikybull Crypto also assured that Bitcoin’s long-term outlook is bullish, as the leading cryptocurrency is still far from its bull market peak.
Market still recovering from oversupply
Coutts also mentioned that the market is still recovering from oversupply. This is related to the selling pressure that Bitcoin has experienced thanks to German governmentwhich has dumped nearly 50,000 BTC into the market. As such, it may take some time for the market to absorb this supply of Bitcoin.
Source: X
Although this selling pressure has negatively impacted the market, Coutts stated that the distributions of German government sales It is Mt. Gox Reserves could help remove the “annoying oversupply.” The analyst noted that this would happen by distributing these coins to a wider range of holders, which in turn would grow the Bitcoin network and make the flagship cryptocurrency even better off than before.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading around $58,300, up more than 2% in the past 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.
BTC Price Holds Above $58,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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