Bitcoin
Bitcoin surges today with speculation Meme Mania is back
The surge in meme stocks today has some investors taking a closer look at the digital asset space.
It’s been an incredible day for high-risk assets, with speculators clearly returning to various meme stocks and cryptocurrencies similar in style today. For Bitcoin (Bitcoin 2.38%), a 2.5% move in 24 hours may seem like small potatoes given what is happening in the market today. GameStop (GME 74.40%) shares rose more than 70% this afternoon, with Reddit (RDDT 8.71%) seeing its share price rise by around 10% as well, with the return of Keith Kill (“Roaring Kitty”) to social media. The meme craze we all thought was dead may have just gone on hiatus.
We’ll see. The post that is driving speculators back into the market shows a man leaning forward in his chair, with many anticipating that this could mean that Roaring Kitty is considering adding a position (or has already done so). Its previous timing of moves in GameStop, which has aligned with speculative rises in other high-risk assets such as cryptocurrencies, could mean that there are now the right catalysts present to create a surge in demand for these assets, driving prices higher in the short term. .
Let’s dive into what to make of this news and another important catalyst for Bitcoin that many are paying close attention to.
Mememania is big business for speculators
Bitcoin’s daily movement has been quite orderly and certainly much quieter than many thought would be the case given this news. The issue is that Bitcoin’s status as a store of value and hedge for big money managers means that these headlines don’t mean much to those with the kind of capital to move the price of this token.
Given Bitcoin’s size and current market capitalization, it is also true that greater amounts of capital are needed to flow into this token to see the kind of appreciation that many expect to see in the world’s largest cryptocurrency. However, calls for $1 million in Bitcoin are now proliferating, with Jack Dorsey among the top executives ringing the bell with that number. Your recent announcement what Block (SQUARE -2.20%) will employ about 10% of the company’s cash flow to acquire Bitcoin every month, providing another demand catalyst for Bitcoin that investors are clearly banking on.
Now, the question is whether this increased demand from retail investors and speculators, in combination with the already strong demand from corporate and institutional investors, could be enough to stimulate Bitcoin’s next rally into the six- or seven-figure range.
It’s a game of supply and demand
I certainly think Bitcoin has moved beyond the speculation stage. Those betting on a rise to a target price of, say, $1 million will likely consider it to be a long and arduous road to that level. Of course, historically speaking, this has not been the case. There are many reasons to believe that if history proves to be our guide once again (in terms of post-halving moves), Bitcoin could perform excellently in the near term. But I think it’s also becoming increasingly clear that seeing the market capitalization of any asset increase by trillions of dollars is going to require a very sharp increase in demand.
The new supply of Bitcoin has become increasingly limited and there are certainly retail, corporate and institutional investors who have reason to continue adding Bitcoin during this point in the cycle. However, I think it will be important for investors to take a balanced approach to growing this token over time. Dollar-cost averaging these assets over time, as Block executive Dorsey reportedly hopes to do, may be the best course of action.
Chris MacDonald has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions and recommends Bitcoin and Block. The motley fool has a disclosure policy.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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