Bitcoin
Bitcoin Stabilizes, JPMorgan Sees Recovery in August
Main conclusions
- Bitcoin remains stuck in the $57,000 range. JPMorgan says bitcoin’s negative price trend will reverse in August.
- Analysts backed Iris Energy shares a day after they were dragged down by a short-seller report.
- US spot bitcoin ETFs are being bought this week.
Bitcoin price is stagnant.
Despite briefly gaining after better-than-expected consumer inflation data or Fed comments this week, it has recently returned to the range around $57,000. Analysts at JPMorgan say the cryptocurrency could overcome its price inertia in August.
Meanwhile, the leading cryptocurrency recently traded just above $58,000, up slightly over the past 24 hours.
Why is Bitcoin price stagnant?
It appears that demand and supply pressures are canceling each other out.
The German government has continued to sell bitcoin, although it is starting to scale back those sales. It still holds 3,846 bitcoins (worth about $222 million) on the blockchain; however, the European nation has transferred about $3 billion worth of the cryptocurrency since the beginning of June, according to data from Arkham Intelligence. Coinbase Germany managing director Jan Sell told DL News that the amount of bitcoin they sold as part of Germany’s liquidation process is not a large amount compared to normal volumes.
US Spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have been buying, with about $79 million flowing into the financial products on Thursday, according to Farside Investors. That brought the week’s flows to more than $737 million.
Downward pressure on bitcoin prices driven by recent news is almost over, JPMorgan analysts wrote, suggesting prices could rebound next month.
Bitcoin-related stocks in focus
MicroStrategy (MSTR) shares continued their upward trend a day after announcing a 10-for-1 stock splitrising about 5% in recent trading on Friday.
Shares of bitcoin mining company Iris Energy (IREN) rose 10% in early trading, with The Block reporting that Bernstein analysts came to its defense following a report from a short-seller. Iris shares fell 13% on Thursday after Culper Research said the company was worth much less than its current valuation.
Block Actions (square) rose nearly 3% after Bernstein analysts assessed the value of the company’s deal to supply mining hardware to Core Scientific (CORZ) at approximately $300 million. Core shares have recently risen more than 2%.
SEC willing to relax stance on cryptocurrency custody
On the regulatory front, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is poised to allow exceptions to its SAB 121 guidance, according to Bloomberg Law. The rule in question, which concerns the custody of crypto assets on behalf of customers, is seen as restrictive for traditional financial firms, and a change in the SEC’s stance could aid in the broader adoption of crypto assets.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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