Bitcoin
Bitcoin Selling Pressure Eases as Demand Stabilizes: CryptoQuant
The price of bitcoin (BTC) has surpassed the $60,000 level to the $67,000 zone on news of a lower-than-expected inflation rate in the United States.
According to the latest weekly CryptoQuant report, bitcoin’s latest rally was also supported by a recent decline in selling pressure. However, demand for the cryptocurrency has not yet increased.
Drop in Bitcoin Selling Pressure
The drop in BTC selling pressure can be seen in the on-chain activity of short-term holders and balances on over-the-counter (OTC) desks.
The BTC balance on over-the-counter tables has stabilized since the end of April, indicating lower supply of bitcoin by market participants. The balance on OTC tables began to increase by 60,000 BTC on March 10, when the asset reached an all-time high of $73,000; however, it has been stable since the end of last month.
Similarly, profit margins for short-term BTC holders are currently at low or negative levels following high margins that triggered elevated selling pressure in early March. Since they have exhausted all accumulated profits in 2024, traders now face unrealized losses on positions. Historically, this has coincided with a lower local level of prices.
The possibility that the market has reached its lowest point is based on the low profitability of miners. Analysts at CryptoQuant said that Bitcoin miners are extremely underpaid at the moment and that their profitability has plummeted to levels last seen since March 2020, just days after the COVID market crash. Historically, extremely low mining profitability has been associated with rock bottom prices.
Demand has not yet increased
On the other hand, Bitcoin demand growth appears to be stabilizing after a month of slowdown. The increase in BTC balances from permanent holders and large investors indicates greater demand from these market participants.
However, demand for BTC would need to increase further to allow the market to sustain the latest price rally. Demand may come from the spot market for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETF) and other Bitcoin investment funds.
According to CryptoQuant analysts, the crypto market needs a new wave of Bitcoin ETF spot purchases to renew demand growth. Demand for these products appears to be Catching now, with the funds seeing total inflows of more than US$560 million in the last two trading sessions.
Furthermore, stablecoin liquidity growth is emergingsignaling a potential bullish move for BTC.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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