Bitcoin
Bitcoin Prices Jump Nearly 6% After Falling to Lowest Level Since February
Bitcoin prices rebounded today after falling to a four-month low. (Photo by Chesnot/Getty Images)
Getty Images
Bitcoin prices rebounded today, rising after falling to their lowest level in more than four months amid weak market conditions.
The world’s top digital currency hit $56,856.61 this afternoon, according to CoinMarketCap Data.
At this point, the cryptocurrency was up more than 5.8% after falling to $53,717.34, its lowest since late February, shortly after midnight ET, additional figures from CoinMarketCap show.
After hitting the aforementioned daily high of $56,800, the digital asset saw some volatility but held on to most of the gains generated earlier today.
Explaining bitcoin’s recent price fluctuations, several analysts have stated that the digital currency became oversold when it dropped over the past 24 hours.
Several media reports pointed to the announcement that the administrator of Mt. Gox has started making payments to certain creditors as the reason why the digital currency fell to its lowest value in more than four months in the last 24 hours.
Tim Enneking, Managing Partner at Hallcommented on this development, but emphasized that several factors contributed to the losses in bitcoin.
“In a market that was already relatively weak due to post-ATH consolidation, the usual summer lull, and the SEC releasing the actual launch date for spot ETH ETF trading, concerns about BTC dumping by Mt. Gox recipients (whether well-founded or not) clearly constituted the straw that broke the camel’s back and sent spot BTC prices down from $60k to nearly $53k,” he said in emailed comments.
Independent cryptocurrency analyst Armando Aguilar also emphasized that several variables contributed to the decline in digital currency markets.
“As new supply came into the market from the Mt. Gox Trustee, it showed BTC transfers to unknown addresses, and the German government also preparing to unload additional supply. A low-level fear and greed spooked the market, all of these factors sent prices tumbling across the board,” he said via emailed comments.
When prices fell, bitcoin was oversold, which caused the digital currency to rally, Aguilar added.
Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuantalso spoke out, offering a different view of the situation.
“Prices fell mainly due to selling/profit taking by large investors (whales) and mid-sized miners,” he said via Telegram.
“The sale by Mt. Gox and other entities (German government) is relatively small compared to the overall pool of Bitcoin money,” Moreno added.
“Several on-chain metrics signaled oversold territory after prices hit $53K, which could be why they rebounded sharply. For example, traders’ unrealized profits hit negative levels not seen since the FTX collapse.”
He included the chart below, which uses data from CryptoQuant, to illustrate these developments:
Bitcoin On-Chain Trader’s Realized Price and Profit-Loss Margin
CryptoQuant
Moreno also emphasized that the amount of money seized by the US and German governments represents a very small fraction (approximately 1.6%) of the total realized value of bitcoin.
The difference can be visualized using the graph below:
Bitcoin’s Realized Limit vs. the Value of Bitcoin Seized by the US and German Governments
CryptoQuant
Going forward, the Mt. Gox sales may not be as big a drag on cryptocurrency markets as some might think, said Enneking, who noted that investors who get their bitcoins back are unlikely to sell them immediately.
“Unless one assumes that all Mt. Gox BTC recipients are idiots,” “they won’t abruptly dump their long-awaited BTC immediately upon receipt — and since they’ve waited 10 years, what’s another few months waiting for the price to recover?” he said.
“So at some level, BTC is clearly oversold and apparently the market believes that level is around 50 to 55%,” Enneking said.
“Either way, once BTC is actually distributed and the sky miraculously doesn’t fall, BTC will enjoy an immediate and very healthy recovery!” he predicted.
Disclosure: I own bitcoin, bitcoin cash, litecoin, ether, EOS, and SOL.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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