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Bitcoin Price Trajectory Continues Bearish, $49,000 Liquidity Zone Approaches as Next Downside Target

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Bitcoin Price Trajectory Continues Bearish, $49,000 Liquidity Zone Approaches as Next Downside Target

Bitcoin price has recently shown signs of recovery, climbing back to the $58,000 level after hitting a five month low of $53,500. However, technical analysis suggests that the digital asset may struggle to overcome crucial indicators, potentially revisiting lower price levels.

In a recent publish On social media platform X (formerly Twitter), market expert Jackis highlights the D1 bearish trend indicator on the 12-hour chart, indicating the need for Bitcoin to reclaim the $64,000 zone to reverse the prevailing daily bearish trend.

Despite this cautious outlook, there are encouraging signs, including significant inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and long-term holders accumulating more BTC.

BTC struggles to break downtrend

Despite the recent recovery, Bitcoin’s technical analysis suggests that the bearish trend remains. Jackis emphasizes that even if the Bitcoin price makes a new leg higher to $60,300, the D1 Trend Indicator remains bearish unless BTC manages to recapture the $64,000 zone, which has already proven to be a major resistance for the bulls as BTC price failed to break it in its previous attempt on July 1.

According to Jackis’ analysis, the target for the next daily leg is projected between $51,000 and $49,000, with a key level at $63,800 that bulls must reach to reverse the daily trend.

However, there is potential for this situation to reverse as “dip buyers” return, resulting in significant inflows into US Bitcoin. ETF Marketsupporting Bitcoin price this week to avoid a deeper pullback with consecutive days of inflows to manage selling pressure from German government holdings.

ETF Input Data and Bitcoin Price Performance

JP Morgan data shows that spot Bitcoin ETFs witnessed inflows of $882 million during the week ending July 11, averaging $175 million per day, marking the highest inflows since May 23.

BlackRock’s IBIT ETF and Fidelity’s FBTC led the surge, attracting $403 million and $361 million, respectively. However, Grayscale’s ETF continued its outflow trend, losing nearly $87 million after three weeks of outflows in the ETF market totaling more than $1.1 billion.

Supporting the bullish outlook, cryptocurrency analyst CryptoSoulz conducted an in-depth analysis of Bitcoin’s price performance in July, finding that long-term holders have accumulated BTC, having purchased over 85,000 BTC in the last 30 days.

Bitcoin PriceSpike in long-term Bitcoin holders buying the dip. Source: CryptoSoulz on X

According to the analyst, this accumulation of long-term holders is a bullish catalyst for the price, indicating confidence in Bitcoin’s potential.

CryptoSoulz, similar to Jackis, suggests that Bitcoin is currently finding support in the longer period of time (HTF), anticipating a recovery from this level, especially considering the recent bearish news.

However, the analyst further explained that if the Bitcoin price fails to sustain above the $54,000 zone in the coming days, the next support level is expected at $49,500.

Bitcoin PriceThe 1-D chart shows BTC price consolidation. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price is sitting at $58,300, up just 0.7% over the 24-hour period as BTC looks to consolidate above the crucial levels mentioned above.

Featured image of DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

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We are the editorial team of Altcoin Updates, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Altcoin Updates, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

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Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.

Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.

In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.

On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.

The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.

“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.

Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.

The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.

“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.

That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.

Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.

(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)

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India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Amitoj Singh

“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

AltcoinUpdates Staff

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Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.

Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.

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