Connect with us

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Price Action Sends Warning Signal of Stock Market Selloff Soon

AltcoinUpdates Staff

Published

on

Bitcoin Price Action Sends Warning Signal of Stock Market Selloff Soon
  • Bitcoin’s 10% sell-off since June 7 signals a wake-up call for the broader stock market.
  • Stifel strategist Barry Bannister highlighted a strong correlation between bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100.
  • Bannister said he expects a summer correction in stocks, influenced by higher interest rates for longer.

Thanks for signing up!

Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you’re on the go. get the app

By clicking “Register”, you accept our Service Terms It is Privacy Policy. You can unsubscribe at any time by visiting our Preferences page or clicking “unsubscribe” at the bottom of the email.

Bitcoins The 10% sell-off since June 7 is sending a warning signal to the broader stock market, according to Stifel strategist Barry Bannister.

In a note on Wednesday, Bannister highlighted the strong correlation between bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 since 2020, as cryptocurrency shares characteristics of a risky speculative asset, it more than behaves like “digital gold”.

But while bitcoin traded lower in June to around $65,000, the broader stock market continues to hit new records, driven by gains in mega-cap technology stocks such as Nvidia It is Litter.

Bitcoin’s inability to reach new records suggests that the stock market will likely try to recover as it is poised to fall in line with the cryptocurrency, according to the note.

“Recently, the weakening of bitcoin signals an imminent S&P 500 summer correction and consolidation phase,” Bannister said.

Bannister isn’t the only analyst on Wall Street taking stock market cues from bitcoin.

Fairlead Strategies founder Katie Stockton told CNBC on Monday that she is also watching the growing divergence between U.S. technology stocks and bitcoin.

“When we see bitcoin pulling back in this picture and the Nasdaq 100 just rising, that concerns us to some extent, just in the short term,” Stockton said. “We feel like this divergence is something that’s probably going to catch up with the Nasdaq 100 once people say ‘well, wait a second, Nvidia is maybe a little overextended here.’

Adding to Bannister’s conviction of an imminent stock market sell-off is the Federal Reserve, which could keep interest rates higher for longer to combat still-high inflation.

“The correction we expect in risk assets is reinforced by our view that the Fed moves away from its current cautious moderation as inflation remains elevated (‘last mile’ issues), thus exposing the overvalued S&P 500 vis-à-vis -vis the financial condition index and other measures,” Bannister said.

In a summer correction scenario, Bannister sees shares of big tech companies like Nvidia being hit the hardest as analysts’ future earnings estimates show signs of peaking.

“As NVDA follows past cycles, the rising leader could lead the downward 3Q24 correction,” Bannister said.

But Bannister admitted he may be ahead of schedule in his call for a market correction, as bubbles often march to the beat of their own drum.

It’s possible the stock could continue to rise before suffering an even more painful decline of about 20%.

“Previous bubbles since the 19th century indicate that the S&P 500 could very well rise to ~6,000 by year-end 2024 and then back and forth to near where 2024 began five quarters later in ~1Q26 (S&P 500~ 4,800),” Bannister said.

Fuente

We are the editorial team of Altcoin Updates, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Altcoin Updates, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Información básica sobre protección de datos Ver más

  • Responsable: Miguel Mamador.
  • Finalidad:  Moderar los comentarios.
  • Legitimación:  Por consentimiento del interesado.
  • Destinatarios y encargados de tratamiento:  No se ceden o comunican datos a terceros para prestar este servicio. El Titular ha contratado los servicios de alojamiento web a Banahosting que actúa como encargado de tratamiento.
  • Derechos: Acceder, rectificar y suprimir los datos.
  • Información Adicional: Puede consultar la información detallada en la Política de Privacidad.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

AltcoinUpdates Staff

Published

on

Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens

Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.

Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.

In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.

On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.

The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.

“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.

Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.

The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.

“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.

That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.

Fuente

Continue Reading

Bitcoin

How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

AltcoinUpdates Staff

Published

on

How systematic approaches reduce investor risk

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.

July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.

Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.

(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)

Fuente

Continue Reading

Bitcoin

India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report

AltcoinUpdates Staff

Published

on

Amitoj Singh

“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”

Fuente

Continue Reading

Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

AltcoinUpdates Staff

Published

on

Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets

Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.

Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.

Fuente

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2024 ALTCOINUPDATES.XYZ All rights reserved. This website provides educational content and highlights that investing involves risks. It is essential to conduct thorough research before investing and to be prepared to assume potential losses. Be sure to fully understand the risks involved before making investment decisions. Important: We do not provide financial or investment advice. All content is presented for educational purposes only.