Bitcoin
Bitcoin Options Traders Anticipate an Imminent Breakout Above $74K for New Record Prices
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Options trading desks have seen strong buying activity for BTC options expiring in June.
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BTC “poised to move higher” with around $1.5 billion in short positions concentrated around the $72,000 that could be liquidated, Matrixport noted.
Bitcoin {{BTC}} options traders are increasingly positioning themselves for the asset to reach new record prices this month, market data suggests.
“Our desk recorded strong bullish tracking with significant purchases of call options for June expiries, indicating positioning in the options market for a decisive break from 74,000 all-time highs this month,” digital asset hedge fund QCP said in a statement. market update on wednesday.
options are derivative contracts that give buyers the right to buy or sell an asset at a certain price on or before a predetermined date when the contract expires. If the underlying asset does not reach the strike price (out of the money), the option will expire worthless. Buying call options implies a bullish outlook for an asset’s price, while buyers of put options are bearish.
“Options flow was clearly bullish today with large sizes in long BTC OTM [out-of-money] call spreads at the end of June and to a lesser extent at the end of July,” institutional crypto derivatives trading network Paradigm said in a Telegram broadcast.
Joshua Lim, co-founder of leading crypto derivatives trading firm Arbelos Markets, noted “very concentrated call buying” on Tuesday, with around 1,100 contracts purchased with option spreads expiring June 28 in exercises $74,000 to $80,000, representing about $80 million of notional demand.
A call spread is an options trading strategy in which purchases of calls at a lower strike price are made along with sales of the same amount of calls at a higher strike price and with the same expiration. with the aim of profiting from a limited price increase.
Bitcoin Options Heatmap on Deribit (Deribit via Arbelos Markets)
Bitcoin has spent nearly three months consolidating since hitting an all-time high just below $74,000 in mid-March. After briefly falling below $57,000 in early May, it has seen a steady recovery, now changing hands around $71,000, just a few percentage points off new record prices.
Crypto investment services firm Matrixport said in a Wednesday X post that bitcoin “appears poised to move higher,” supported by strong flows into U.S. spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds and rising open interest in the futures market.
Yesterday we mentioned that #Bitcoin futures traders were increasing their positions and two days ago we mentioned that Bitcoin was about to break out of the bullish triangle formation. Combined with the second largest net purchases of Bitcoin #To see #ETFs last night, #BTC looks… pic.twitter.com/pZPQi97CXx
– Matrixport (@realMatrixport) June 5, 2024
A rise above the $72,000 level could induce a small squeeze, Matrixport noted, as there is about $1.5 billion in leveraged futures contracts betting on lower prices concentrated around that range that could be liquidated, exacerbating the upward movement.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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