Bitcoin
Bitcoin Drops Below $58,000 as Mt. Gox Selling Pressure Mounts
- Bitcoin fell below $58,000 on Thursday, hitting its lowest level since May.
- The decline takes bitcoin below its 200-day moving average, which could signal a downside, said Alex Kuptsikevich of FXPro.
- Investors are dumping the token as fears of selling pressure from Mt. Gox mount.
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Bitcoin hit a two-month low on Thursday as the world’s largest cryptocurrency fell to $58,000 for the first time since May.
The apex token dropped 3.5% over the day, reaching a low of $56,882. The drop extends a three-day slump as concerns grow over looming selling pressure in the market.
The decline has now pulled bitcoin below its 200-day moving average, FXPro senior market analyst Alex Kuptsikevich noted.
This metric is used to determine where a market is headed — consistent trading below the indicator usually suggests a decline.
“From the current position, a 12% drop to $51.5K (February consolidation area) is more likely than the same amount of growth to $65.8K,” he wrote Thursday morning. The higher forecast is based on bitcoin’s 50-day moving average.
Just three days into the month, bitcoin has already suffered an 8.6% decline. Driving the selloff is looming concern over payments from Mt. Gox, a cryptocurrency exchange that was declared bankruptcy almost a decade ago.
The planned payments are to reimburse customers who were victims of a 2014 hack, and will be distributed in bitcoin or bitcoin cash. But that is raising fears of selling pressure as customers may choose to cash out their tokens for big gains.
According to K33 ResearchConcern has weighed on the price of bitcoin in recent days.
Other crypto tokens such as ether and solana, are tracking bitcoin lower. In fact, the industry’s market cap fell to a February low on Thursday, falling below $2.17 trillion, Kuptsikevich wrote.
However, bullish analysts remain confident about bitcoin’s comeback this year.
On Monday, Fundstrat’s Tom Lee projected that the cryptocurrency will rise to $150,000 by the end of the year as Mt. Gox Overhang Passes.
Others, like Galaxy CEO Michael Novogratz, warned months earlier that a bitcoin correction would happen before it could continue climbing higher. Speaking in February, he suggested a $50,000 floor.
Still, bitcoin is up more than 38% year-to-date, after a mass bullfight sent the token to a record high of $73,798. What sparked the rally was the launch of spot bitcoin ETFs in January.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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