Bitcoin
Bitcoin Drops Below $55,000, But Traders Aren’t Scared. Why?
As Bitcoin faces strong headwinds, breaking through two critical support levels at $60,000 and $56,500 in quick succession, it may on the surface appear as if fear is taking hold of the market. There is reason to be fearful, especially for coin holders leveraging BTC on decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols, seeking to borrow against the asset as collateral.
Fear has not yet taken hold of the Bitcoin market
Even with falling prices, an on-chain analyst, talking about X, argues that the market is relatively composed and fear and panic have not yet completely taken over. Pointing to Bitcoin’s Daily Realized Profit Loss ratio, the analyst said that unless there is an increase in the number of addresses in red, indicating panic selling, the market could sustain further losses.
BTC traders are not afraid | Source: @AxelAdlerJr via X
According to the analyst’s assessment, the absence of “panic selling” bars suggests that investors are still processing current events. Even if prices fall below $56,500, the market, the analyst added, could fall as low as $47,000, a level that “doesn’t look as dire as it did three weeks ago when we were at 70,000.”
However, amid this necessary correction, the analyst added that the shakeout should be slower. This way, there will be a more orderly market correction.
On July 5, Bitcoin fell nearly 30% from its all-time highs and is under immense selling pressure. After the drop below $56,500 earlier today, it is evident that the coin is now within a bearish breakout formation. The sell-off forced prices out of the March to May 2024 range. This signals a new phase after the expansions in Q1 2024, when the coin reached $73,800.
Bitcoin Price in Downtrend on Daily Chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView
Analysts expect further losses with sellers in the driver’s seat and Bitcoin inside a bear breakout formation. So far, immediate support lies at $50,000 and $45,000, marking January 2024 highs.
Best Time to Buy Bitcoin? Wait for This Signal
While the dip is forcing investors to seek refuge in stablecoins, another analyst thinks this could be the best time to get more BTC at a discount. Taking to X, the analyst pointed several fundamental factors that paint an optimistic long-term picture.
Related reading: This dormant Bitcoin wallet with $6.8 million in BTC has been reactivated. Are they selling it?
Some of these tailwinds include the availability of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). There is also regulatory clarity in the U.S ahead of the highly contested presidential election. At the same time, the analyst is convinced that the upcoming $16 billion payment by FTX trustees would be a net positive for bullish BTC bulls.
Fewer BTC addresses being created | Source: @AxelAdlerJr via X
Still, before there is stability and this week’s sell-off is neutralized, there must be a increase in new addresses. Once this is observed, it would mean that new investors are coming in, creating demand for the coin. For now, prices are plummeting, and fewer addresses are being created.
Featured image by DALLE, chart by TradingView
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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