Bitcoin
Bitcoin bullish sentiment in ‘serious decline’
Bitcoin’s positive sentiment has witnessed a “serious decline,” according to analysts at market intelligence platform Santiment.
On Thursday, as Bitcoin (BTC) struggled to regain its recent upward trajectory, Santiment shared that funding rates suggest an increase in bearish bets.
“Positive sentiment towards Bitcoin has plummeted despite the mid-cap crypto market rally this week. Many traders, particularly on Binance, are opening shorts in the expectation that BTC will fall again,” the platform wrote.
Bullish commentary on Bitcoin’s price has fallen to about a third of the rate seen four months ago. Data also shows that traders are increasingly betting against BTC’s near-term rally.
📊 Positive sentiment towards Bitcoin has plummeted despite the mid-cap cryptocurrency market rally this week. Many traders, particularly in @binanceare opening shorts with the expectation that BTC will fall again. Both factors increase the probability of the cryptocurrency rising. photo.twitter.com/50Z1TvJpUx
— Santiment (@santimentfeed) July 18, 2024
Bitcoin Holders Withdraw BTC From Exchanges
Bitcoin’s surge to $66,000 earlier this week has given way to a decline to around $63,380. The price has fallen just over 2.5% in the past 24 hours, which notably is what analysts at Bitfinex said would likely happen, as highlighted in our previous coverage.
While positive sentiment has waned and traders are increasing short positions, Santiment suggests that these factors “increase the likelihood of the cryptocurrency rising.”
Cryptocurrency analyst Woo Minkyu noted in a publish On Thursday, Bitcoin holders recently withdrew large amounts from exchanges. This happened on July 5, when BTC fell below $54,000 – a scenario that coincided with the massive liquidation pressure from the German government and the initial BTC transfers by Mt. Gox.
At the time, holders withdrew $3.8 billion worth of BTC from exchanges and helped prices jump from around $56,000 to over $65,000.
This week, on July 16, Bitcoin holders again raided exchanges, withdrawing another $3.4 billion worth of BTC. Shorts were caught by surprise after that, although the main cryptocurrency has fallen again in the last 24 hours amid new sentiment driven by Mt. Gox.
Although prices are below the week’s highs, this BTC movement on exchanges suggests that holders are planning to hodl, which usually positively affects the price.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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