Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) fails to hold $63K and may remain limited
Bitcoin (BTC) rose during the European morning on Monday, peaking around $63,200 before retreating below $62,800. BTC may again be trying to climb above $64,000, of which there have been several instances this month, all of which have been sold. This behavior, together with transaction numbers plummeting, points to consolidation in the market and the possibility that bitcoin is limited for now. At the time of writing, bitcoin is 2.34% higher over the past 24 hours at $62,543. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), which measures the broader digital market, rose 1.1%, with companies like ETH and SOL showing more modest gains, trading just below $3,000 and $150, respectively.
Bitcoin’s price action since reaching new all-time highs in March has been characterized by lower lows and lower highs as a shift toward sales took hold in the market thanks to the profits of long and short term holders. “A failure below $60,000 could trigger a panic sell-off of sorts,” FxPro trader Alex Kuptsikevich told CoinDesk in a note. “The positive scenario, in our opinion, will become the main one with a rise above $65 thousand, correcting the price to the 50-day moving average and the reversal area in early May.” He added that downward pressure is likely it is related to the sale of assets by mining companies and concerns about stricter regulation of cryptocurrencies.
Japanese investment and consultancy company Metaplanet adopted bitcoin as a reserve asset to protect against the country’s debt burden and yen volatility. Metaplanet has acquired 117.7 BTC ($7.35 million) since April, mimicking MicroStrategy’s US strategy. Japan’s gross debt-to-GDP ratio currently exceeds 254%, the highest in the advanced world, according to data monitored by the IMF. For comparison, the US debt-to-GDP ratio exceeded 123%. The yen has depreciated 50% against the US dollar since the beginning of 2021. “As the yen continues to weaken, Bitcoin offers a non-sovereign store of value that has, and may continue, to appreciate relative to currencies traditional fiduciaries,” said Metaplanet.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
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Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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