Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $100,000 if Donald Trump becomes US president again (ChatGPT speculates)
DR
- Donald Trump promises to support Bitcoin and crypto mining if elected, which could result in BTC prices rising (according to ChatGPT).
- Broader economic conditions, such as inflation and Federal Reserve policies, can also significantly influence the asset’s future valuation.
What are the chances of BTC?
The US presidential elections, scheduled for November this year, are expected to witness a fierce battle between current President Joe Biden and Republican candidate Donald Trump. The latter recently introduced he himself is the go-to choice for crypto enthusiasts, promising to let Bitcoin (BTC) and the industry prosper if he returns to the White House.
That said, we decided to ask ChatGPT whether the price of the leading digital asset could reach the $100,000 mark if Trump becomes America’s 47th president. The AI-powered chatbot estimated that its possible victory could in fact fuel a price rally for BTC:
“Trump’s presidency could impact regulatory policies regarding cryptocurrencies. If management adopts a more cryptocurrency-friendly stance, this could positively influence the price of Bitcoin.”
ChatGPT also stated that BTC’s valuation could go north if Trump fulfills his promises related to the crypto sector. He recently promised to boost the United States’ Bitcoin mining efforts, describing the process as the “last line of defense against a CBDC.” Earlier this year, the billionaire said that the digital dollar would be “very dangerous”, adding that he would never allow its creation (if he wins the elections).
Latest searches indicate that Donald Trump currently leads Biden by a small margin: 41% against 40% for his main opponent. Robert Kennedy, who receives 9.2% of voter support, is in third place.
Additional Factors
ChatGPT maintained that the possible election of Trump as the next US president is not the only element fueling a rally in BTC prices. Broader economic conditions such as inflation, geopolitical stability and monetary policy could also play a huge role.
Inflation in the States is one of the main factors closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, which targets an annual rate of 2%. Once this percentage is reached (or even before), the central bank will be able to abandon its aggressive anti-inflationary regime and lower interest rates.
The benchmark is currently positioned between 5.25% and 5.50% and some industry participants wait the crypto market will head north once the Fed cuts the number. After all, this will make borrowing money cheaper, potentially increasing interest in risky assets like BTC and alternative currencies.
Earlier this week, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released its latest report, showing that inflation in America was below expectations for May. However, the Fed decided to keep rates unchanged: change followed by a drop in the price of BTC.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
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Bitcoin
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