Bitcoin
Bitcoin and Crypto Stocks Pop Again This Week
Bitcoin has lifted some cryptocurrency stocks.
Some portions of crypto market came to life this week, led by Bitcoin (Bitcoin -0.20%). The token with the world’s largest market capitalization has been boosted by a resurgence in risk-taking this week following a few weeks of uncertainty surrounding geopolitics and the Federal Reserve’s next move. All of this has caused Bitcoin to jump 10.1% in the last seven days, as of 2:40 pm ET on Friday.
Bitcoin’s move has led to some big moves among leveraged Bitcoin players. According to data provided by S&P Global Market IntelligenceBitcoin holder Microstrategy (MSTR 10.04%) rose as high as 33.6% this week, before falling slightly and trading 28.8% higher at the time of writing. Miners Digital Marathon (MARA -1.02%) jumped 21.7% at its peak, Riot Platforms (REBELLION 0.60%) rose 21.7%, and Cabin 8 (CABIN 2.69%) rose 19.5%. They are currently up 28.8%, 9.3% and 13.9% for the week.
Bitcoin’s big move
The value of Bitcoin has fallen in recent weeks following the halving that halved the reward for mining a new Bitcoin. It didn’t help that investors were worried that the Federal Reserve would keep interest rates higher or that the conflict in the Middle East and Eastern Europe would continue to escalate. As Bitcoin trading correlated more with growth stocks than as a hedge to Fed moves, these uncertainties caused Bitcoin to fall.
Earlier this week, the return of some risk-taking driven by pandemic-era personalities caused a number of stocks to jump dramatically and, not surprisingly, these moves reached the crypto market. What is not clear is whether these commercial dynamics, which ultimately did not generate fundamental value for any company, will keep the market sustained.
Leveraging Bitcoin
Meanwhile, companies leveraged by Bitcoin are the biggest beneficiaries. MicroStrategy has been one of the most bullish voices in the Bitcoin market and has been buying the token with debt in recent years. This means that the stock will plummet if the value of Bitcoin falls, and when it rises, the stock may also soar.
Miners will have a double benefit if Bitcoin rises. This not only means that what they mine is more valuable, but they also keep Bitcoin on their balance sheets, enjoying the impact of the token’s rise.
This is the balance between investing in MicroStrategy or Bitcoin mining stocks.
Will pop last?
Some of the same dynamics that led to the crypto market peaking in 2021 appear today. Stocks are extremely valued and the market is ignoring weakening fundamentals and an economy that is beginning to show signs of stress. It doesn’t seem like this would affect Bitcoin, but I mentioned earlier that Bitcoin trades more like a growth stock than a hedge for financial markets.
We also saw tens of billions of dollars flowing into the crypto industry after crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were approved and more people started trading again. These trends may not last if the economy slows. As a result, I will stay out of Bitcoin and leveraged stocks for Bitcoin because the risk at this point is not worth the potential reward.
Travis Hoium has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions and recommends Bitcoin. The motley fool has a disclosure policy.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Stocks Bleed as China’s Surprise Rate Cut Signals Panic, Treasury Yield Curve Steepens
Risk assets fell on Thursday as China’s second rate cut in a week raised concerns of instability in the world’s second-largest economy.
Bitcoin (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down nearly 2% since midnight UTC to around $64,000 and ether (ETH) fell more than 5%, dragging the broader altcoin market lower. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader cryptocurrency market, lost 4.6% in 24 hours.
In equity markets, Germany’s DAX, France’s CAC and the euro zone’s Euro Stoxx 50 all fell more than 1.5%, and futures linked to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down slightly after the index’s 3% drop on Wednesday, according to the data source. Investing.com.
On Thursday morning, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise, cut outside the schedule in its one-year medium-term lending rate to 2.3% from 2.5%, injecting 200 billion yuan ($27.5 billion) of liquidity into the market. That is the biggest reduction since 2020.
The movement, together with similar reductions in other lending rates earlier this week shows the urgency among policymakers to sustain growth after their recent third plenary offered little hope of a boost. Data released earlier this month showed China’s economy expanded 4.7% in the second quarter at an annualized pace, much weaker than the 5.1% estimated and slower than the 5.3% in the first quarter.
“Equity futures are flat after yesterday’s bloody session that shook sentiment across asset classes,” Ilan Solot, senior global strategist at Marex Solutions, said in a note shared with CoinDesk. “The PBoC’s decision to cut rates in a surprise move has only added to the sense of panic.” Marex Solutions, a division of global financial platform Marex, specializes in creating and distributing custom derivatives products and issuing structured products tied to cryptocurrencies.
Solot noted the continued “steepening of the US Treasury yield curve” as a threat to risk assets including cryptocurrencies, echoing CoinDesk Reports since the beginning of this month.
The yield curve steepens when the difference between longer-duration and shorter-duration bond yields widens. This month, the spread between 10-year and two-year Treasury yields widened by 20 basis points to -0.12 basis points (bps), mainly due to stickier 10-year yields.
“For me, the biggest concern is the shape of the US yield curve, which continues to steepen. The 2- and 10-year curve is not only -12 bps inverted, compared to -50 bps last month. The recent moves have been led by the rise in back-end [10y] yields and lower-than-expected decline in yields,” Solot said.
That’s a sign that markets expect the Fed to cut rates but see tighter inflation and expansionary fiscal policy as growing risks, Solot said.
Bitcoin
How systematic approaches reduce investor risk
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
Low liquidity, regulatory uncertainty and speculative behavior contribute to inefficiency in crypto markets. But systematic approaches, including momentum indices, can reduce risks for investors, says Gregory Mall, head of investment solutions at AMINA Bank.
July 24, 2024, 5:30 p.m.
Updated July 24, 2024, 5:35 p.m.
(Benjamin Cheng/Unsplash)
Fuente
Bitcoin
India to Release Crypto Policy Position by September After Consultations with Stakeholders: Report
“The policy position is how one consults with relevant stakeholders, so it’s to go out in public and say here’s a discussion paper, these are the issues and then stakeholders will give their views,” said Seth, who is the Secretary for Economic Affairs. “A cross-ministerial group is currently looking at a broader policy on cryptocurrencies. We hope to release the discussion paper before September.”
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) slide as risk aversion spreads to crypto markets
Ether, the second-largest token, fueled a slide in digital assets after a stock rout spread unease across global markets.
Ether fell about 6%, the most in three weeks, and was trading at $3,188 as of 6:45 a.m. Thursday in London. Market leader Bitcoin fell about 3% to $64,260.
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